Fundies Cheat Sheets Recap: May 18–22, 2026
Saturday, May 23,2026,15:12
The 10% scenario drove the week. Pakistan-mediated Iran deal headlines flipped the framework’s risk-off bias on its head — here’s what the magnitudes overshoot probably teaches us going forward. .. read more..
Silver Market Brief: The Fed Opened the Door to Hikes. Silver Didn’t Break.
Saturday, May 23,2026,13:57
A look at what moved silver this week, the forces pulling it in both directions, and the levels that could decide the next move.” .. read more..
Gold Market Brief: Bears Keep Control as Rate Cut Hopes Fade
Saturday, May 23,2026,11:56
A look at why gold keeps falling despite a new Fed Chair and an active war, from hawkish Fed signals and rising real yields to the key levels that could define the next move. .. read more..
Rupee undervalued, inflation gap at record low, time to turn constructive on ...
Saturday, May 23,2026,04:36
On a trade-weighted basis, the rupee is fundamentally undervalued, creating a strong margin of safety for investors, the report says .. read more..
Finance & Forex Weekly Recap: May 18 – 22, 2026
Friday, May 22,2026,18:06
US-Iran peace talks whipsawed every major market this week, while a hawkish Fed, a new Fed Chair, and cratering consumer sentiment made sure no one stayed comfortable. .. read more..
A final path to peace? Markets Weekly Outlook
Friday, May 22,2026,16:08
A week ahead preview: Traders are hungry for a peace treaty, after a rollercoaster week. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at the past week's Market performance, what changed and the key events to expect in next week) .. read more..
EUR/USD Analysis – May 22: Rumors Failed to Support the Euro
Friday, May 22,2026,14:42
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed in form. There is still no indication that the upward trend segment (lower chart), which began in January last year, has been canceled, but the trend structure has now taken on a corrective appearance. In the long term, wave C may develop, with its low expected to form below the low of wave A. At the current stage, it is difficult to believe in such a strong decline of the euro, but the first quarter of 2026 demonstrated that geopolitics can dramatically alter market trends. On the lower timeframe, I can identify a classic three-wave upward corrective structure. After the completion of this structure, a new downward trend segmen... .. read more..
USDCHF trades new lows for the week but also near key 100 day MA support
Friday, May 22,2026,14:41
The USDCHF traded to the low for the week on Monday, testing both the May 15 low and the 100-day moving average, where dip buyers stepped in despite a brief break below the MA. That technical level once again proved to be a key barometer for traders. The high for the week came on Tuesday and Wednesday, with the rally extending up to test the 50% retracement level at 0.7901. Sellers leaned against that resistance area, reinforcing the importance of both the 100-day MA on the downside and the 50% midpoint on the topside as defining technical boundaries for the pair. As the week comes to a close, the pair is moving back to the downside as investors seek the relative safety of the CHF heading... .. read more..
EUR/USD – Smart Money Analysis: The Market Still Doubts a Deal Will Be Reached
Friday, May 22,2026,14:37
The EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, fully pierced through Bullish Imbalance 14, reached Bullish Imbalance 13, and continued its downward movement. On Monday, Donald Trump encouraged bullish traders with conciliatory rhetoric regarding the Middle East conflict, which immediately triggered growth in the euro. The U.S. president stated that very serious negotiations are currently underway, the outcome of which could bring an end to the war and also satisfy the American side. However, beginning on Tuesday, only negative news has emerged. For example, reports today indicated that Iran and the United States still hold fundamentally different positions on the most controversia... .. read more..
GBP/USD – Smart Money Analysis: Traders Await a Breakdown in Negotiations
Friday, May 22,2026,14:31
The GBP/USD pair declined for four consecutive days. As a result of this sharp decline, bears reached Imbalance Zone 18, which represents a bullish pattern. Therefore, bearish pressure may come to an end near this pattern. This week, we saw a convincing reaction from Imbalance 18, including a full 100% fill, a sharp rebound in prices, the formation of a Bullish Engulfing pattern, and a return into Bearish Imbalance 19. However, the bullish momentum essentially faded afterward. Thus, bulls made the first step toward forming a new bullish impulse, but they have so far failed — or perhaps chosen not — to take the second step by invalidating Imbalance 19. What are the chances of this happenin... .. read more..
XAU/USD Price Analysis and Forecast – Gold Faces a New Wave of Selling Pressure
Friday, May 22,2026,14:25
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under selling pressure; however, the asset is still managing to hold above the psychologically important $4,500 level. The US dollar continues to strengthen, reaching a new six-week high amid hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve. Additional support for the U.S. currency comes from mixed signals regarding a possible settlement between the United States and Iran, reinforcing the dollar's position as the world's primary reserve currency and consequently reducing the appeal of gold. Market participants have now fully ruled out a Federal Reserve rate cut before the end of 2026 and are instead pricing in at least one rate hike, given rising energy prices and persiste... .. read more..
ECB between fighting inflation and weaker growth
Friday, May 22,2026,13:48
Analysis of the ECB’s dilemma as persistent inflation in the eurozone’s largest economies raises the possibility of a June rate hike despite weaker growth prospects. .. read more..
USDCAD stretches above the 200 day MA.
Friday, May 22,2026,12:04
Although Canada’s inflation and retail sales data came in stronger than expected, the broader USD buying bias — along with retail sales details that were not as strong beneath the surface (with core sales slipping marginally) — helped push the Canadian dollar lower and the USDCAD higher. Technically, on the hourly chart, the USDCAD has now broken above both the 61.8% retracement of the decline from the late-March high at 1.38068 and the 200-day moving average at 1.3812. The pair reached a high of 1.3821 and is currently trading near 1.3817. Notably, the last time the price traded above the key 200-day moving average was back on April 13. If buyers can keep the price above the 1.3806–1.381... .. read more..
Stock Markets dance towards new records ahead of a long weekend – Dow Jones, ...
Friday, May 22,2026,12:02
S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: US stock benchmarks surge toward uncharted territory as a massive wave of geopolitical optimism sweeps Wall Street. Fueled by reports of a Qatari negotiating team arriving in Tehran to help secure a US-Iran peace deal, crude oil prices are sliding lower, allowing the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 to resume their relentless bullish expansion. Explore the intraday technical levels for the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500. .. read more..
Trading Signals for CRUDE OIL on May 22-25, 2026: buy above $95.00 (21 SMA - ...
Friday, May 22,2026,12:00
Crude oil is trading around $95.75, above the 200 EMA, and within the descending trend channel formed on May 15th. Yesterday, during the US session, crude oil made a jump towards $102.30. Failing to consolidate above the 21 SMA, it fell sharply to $94. This technical rebound coincides with the lower band of the descending trend channel. So, the price is consolidating above the 200 EMA, meaning that we could expect it to reach the psychological level of $100 in the coming days. If crude oil falls below $95 and consolidates below this zone, the outlook could be negative. The first idea could be to fill the gap left around $91.30. We could even expect it to drop to the 7/8 Murray level aroun... .. read more..
Trading Signals for XAU/USD on May 22-25, 2026: buy above $4,530 (21 SMA - sy...
Friday, May 22,2026,11:58
XAU/USD is trading around $4,523 within the ascending trend channel formed on the H1 chart. We could expect a technical bounce so that the price could reach the 200 EMA around $4,572. According to the H1 chart, gold is overbought, so it may have difficulty rising above $4,530 in the coming hours, as the 21 SMA could exert downward pressure. Gold is likely to return to $4,500 or even $4,580 if the downward pressure continues, potentially reaching the low of May 19th around $4,453. We observe the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern on the H1 chart. The instrument is expected to oscillate within this pattern in the coming hours, and we foresee consolidation within this area. Only a d... .. read more..
Trading Signals for EUR/USD on May 22-25, 2026: buy above 1.1590 (21 SMA - 3/...
Friday, May 22,2026,11:47
The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1611, rebounding above the 3/8 Murray line and within the downtrend channel formed since May 11. On the H4 chart, we can see that the euro is under downward pressure and is likely to continue falling in the coming hours if the price consolidates below 1.1596. Given that the euro has repeatedly tested 1.1596 above 3/8, EUR/USD is expected to reach the 200 EMA located at 1.1679. Under this scenario, we expect the euro to break decisively and consolidate above the downtrend channel and above the 21 SMA around 1.1615. If the euro continues to rise and consolidates above 1.1615 in the coming hours, the outlook could turn bullish, and this would be seen as a... .. read more..
Trading Signals for BTC/USD on May 22-25, 2026: sell below $77,714 (21 SMA - ...
Friday, May 22,2026,11:46
Bitcoin is trading around $77,384, below the 200 EMA and within the downtrend channel formed since May 10, as well as within the secondary uptrend channel formed since May 18. BTC is in a critical zone, and we could expect it to continue falling in the coming hours. If Bitcoin falls below the 21 SMA at $77,259 and below the uptrend channel, it could reach the 4/8 Murray level around $75,000 in the coming days. Conversely, if Bitcoin consolidates above the 200 EMA and above the 5/8 Murray level, this could be seen as a positive signal to buy, with a target at $79,872. BTC could even grow to the 6/8 Murray level around $81,250. The outlook for BTC is bullish, but Bitcoin is struggling to ri... .. read more..
EURUSD could not extend above the 100 hour MA. Sellers reverse lower and to a...
Friday, May 22,2026,10:46
The EURUSD attempted to move higher during the North American session, with the rally extending toward the 100-hour moving average, but sellers once again leaned against that key technical level and stalled the advance. As the session progressed, US yields moved back to the upside after inflation expectations in the University of Michigan sentiment survey came in higher, helping to support the US dollar and weigh on the pair. The inability to break and stay above the 100-hour MA reinforces the near-term bearish bias for the EURUSD and the broader bullish bias for the USD. Over the last hour of trading, the pair rotated lower and extended to a new session low at 1.1589. Despite the move, t... .. read more..
U.S. Leading Economic Index Unexpectedly Inches Higher In April
Friday, May 22,2026,10:46
A reading on leading U.S. economic indicators unexpectedly edged slightly higher in the month of April, according to a report released by the Conference Board on Friday. The Conference Board said its leading economic index crept up by 0.1 percent in April after falling by 0.6 percent. Economists had expected the index to dip by 0.3 percent. .. read more..
Dollar braces for storm
Friday, May 22,2026,10:33
Progress exists, but it is of futile importance. The White House is finally starting to admit the obvious — Iran cannot be brought to its knees by threats. It won't give up its uranium stockpiles or control over the Strait of Hormuz. More effective measures are needed, so Saudi Arabia's, the UAE's, and Qatar's pleas to the US not to resume air strikes matter a lot. Escalation of the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East appears unavoidable. That means EUR/USD's fate is largely sealed. At the summit of G7, central bank governors and finance ministers concluded that the inflation spike will be temporary. We are not expected to face the double-digit consumer price surge seen four years ag... .. read more..
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Tumbles Much More Than Previously Estimated In May
Friday, May 22,2026,10:29
A report released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed consumer sentiment in the U.S. deteriorated by much more than previously estimated in the month of May. The University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index for May was downwardly revised to 44.8 from a preliminary reading of 48.2. Economists had expected the index to be unrevised. .. read more..
Dollar ahead of US economic data and Kevin Warsh's inauguration
Friday, May 22,2026,10:00
Today's US session brings three key events for the dollar — each important in its own way. First, the final University of Michigan data for May. The preliminary reading showed the consumer sentiment index at 48.2 — a record low, below April's 49.8 and below the 49.5 forecast. The final release is due today, and the market doesn't expect surprises: consensus for the current conditions index is 47.8, for consumer expectations 48.5, for one?year inflation expectations 4.5% (vs. 4.7% previously) and for five?year expectations 3.4%. Interestingly, inflation expectations now matter more than the sentiment index itself. Annual expectations at 4.5% still notably exceed the 3.4% levels recorded in... .. read more..
US quietly moving toward creating Bitcoin reserve
Friday, May 22,2026,10:00
While the crypto market — meaning the major coins and tokens — is showing no signs of life, Alaska Republican Nick Begich yesterday introduced the American Reserve Modernization Act, a bill aimed at enshrining the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve in US law and diversifying the country's reserve holdings. The proposal envisions housing the reserve within the Treasury Department, with Bitcoin to be stored separately from other digital assets seized by the government. Begich frames his logic by analogy to gold: Bitcoin accounts for roughly 60% of total crypto market capitalization — just as gold dominates the precious?metals complex. In his view, the market itself has handed down that... .. read more..
Iran, US dollar, and gold: who will win?
Friday, May 22,2026,09:59
On Thursday, gold rode a real roller coaster — all because of conflicting reports about talks between the US and Iran. Such news quickly moves the dollar, yields and oil prices, and therefore the price of gold. In the morning, spot gold fell nearly 1% to around $4,500 an ounce, then partially bounced back. June COMEX futures were near $4,555 and ultimately closed the day slightly higher after early losses. The swings were driven by sharp geopolitical volatility. At first, Iran's supreme leader denied rumors of a breakthrough in the talks. That pushed oil prices higher and increased expectations that the Federal Reserve could proceed with rate hikes. The dollar and Treasury yields moved up... .. read more..
USD/JPY trades close to 160.00 after Japan's CPI – More interventions require...
Friday, May 22,2026,09:37
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: The Japanese Yen faces fresh capitulation risks as Japan's April core CPI drops to a dovish 1.4%, well below the Bank of Japan's 2% target. Driven by domestic fuel subsidies masking Middle East oil shocks, the stark policy divergence with a hawkish Federal Reserve has pushed USD/JPY perilously close to the historic 160.00 handle. Explore our comprehensive technical breakdown and FX intervention outlook. .. read more..
ESG Index ETFs: A Smart Way to Invest with Purpose
Friday, May 22,2026,09:30
ESG index ETFs, also known as broad ESG ETFs or core ESG ETFs, are passive funds that track major market indices with sustainability filters applied. They offer diversified exposure at low-cost, but the exclusion of certain sectors or companies has implications that investors should understand to use them effectively. What are ESG index ETFs ESG index ETFs are products that passively track ESG-screened versions of broad market indices. They start with a standard index (e.g. MSCI World or S&P 500), apply an ESG screen or tilt, and then replicate the adjusted index. They typically exclude companies involved in controversial industries such as tobacco, fossil fuels, or weapons, whil... .. read more..
The GBPUSD coils and awaits the next break and run
Friday, May 22,2026,09:09
The GBPUSD remains trapped in a very narrow trading range today, with the high reaching 1.3438 and the low extending to 1.3414 — a range of just 24 pips. That relatively subdued price action reflects a market that is waiting for the next catalyst to provide direction and momentum. Much of the trading today has taken place between the converging 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages, adding to the sense of indecision. The 100-hour moving average, currently at 1.3413, is trending modestly higher, while the 200-hour moving average at 1.3433 continues to slope lower. Sandwiched between those two levels sits the 200-day moving average at 1.34217, further tightening the technical battle lines a... .. read more..
German GDP Growth Rises On Exports, Consumption
Friday, May 22,2026,08:53
The German economy expanded at a slightly faster pace in the first quarter, underpinned by consumption and exports, defying the adverse impact of the conflict in the Middle East. Germany's gross domestic product grew 0.3 percent from a quarter ago, unrevised from the previous estimate and followed the fourth quarter's 0.2 percent expansion, detailed data from Destatis showed Friday. .. read more..
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 22.05.26–29.05.26
Friday, May 22,2026,08:35
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 4,090.00 with a target of 5,610.00–6,000.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 4,090.00. Stop Loss: below 4,020.00, Take Profit: 5,610.00–6,000.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 4,090.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,718.62–3,307.50. A sell signal: the level of 4,090.00 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 4,160.00, Take Profit: 3,718.62–3,307.50. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 4,090.00 with a target of 5,610.00–6,000.00. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 4,090.00 will allow the asset to continue d... .. read more..
The USD is marginallyhigher to start the new trading day
Friday, May 22,2026,08:26
The USD is higher and cautious to start the US session. The US/Iran war remains a chief focus. Today brought cautious but fragile signals of movement in US-Iran negotiations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio acknowledged "slight progress" in talks to end the war, though he was careful not to overstate how much. Pakistan's Army Chief Asim Munir traveled to Tehran today carrying a new message from the US, in the latest mediation push to shrink the remaining gaps between the two sides. Still, major sticking points remain: the sides are still at odds over future control of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's right to enrich uranium. Rubio told reporters that a diplomatic agreement would be "unfeasi... .. read more..
WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 22.05.26–29.05.26
Friday, May 22,2026,08:05
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 93.30 with a target of 115.70–126.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 93.30. Stop Loss: below 91.50, Take Profit: 115.70–126.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 93.30 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 78.70–65.00. A sell signal: the level of 93.30 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 95.00, Take Profit: 78.70–65.00. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 93.30 with a target of 115.70–126.00. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 93.30 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels... Read full author’s opi... .. read more..
Commodities weekly: Oil’s grip on macro and markets remain firm
Friday, May 22,2026,08:00
Key points: Crude oil continues to drive inflation expectations, bond yields, currencies and risk appetite, keeping commodities and broader financial markets highly sensitive to every headline from the Middle East. Gold’s elevated inverse correlations with crude oil, yields and the dollar continue to dominate price action. Copper, the key transition metal continue to find support linked to demand for AI infrastructure, electrification, cooling demand, grid expansion and strategic stockpiling Grains find support from weather risks, fertilizer concerns and renewed expectations for stronger Chinese demand. Cocoa may be making its way back into chocolate bars following a 70% price colla... .. read more..
USD/JPY: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 22.05.26–29.05.26
Friday, May 22,2026,07:35
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 160.70 with a target of 152.10–145.50. A sell signal: the price holds below 160.70. Stop Loss: above 161.20, Take Profit: 152.10–145.50. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 160.70 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 163.10–165.00. A buy signal: the level of 160.70 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 160.20, Take Profit: 163.10–165.00. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 160.70 with a target of 152.10–145.50. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation above 160.70 will... Read full author’s opinion ... .. read more..
3 Simple Reminders To Help Keep Your Trading Composure
Friday, May 22,2026,07:07
Even seasoned traders can lose composure and let emotions take charge, but keeping your cool will help you stay objective. Just keep these three simple tips in mind! .. read more..
GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 22.05.26–29.05.26
Friday, May 22,2026,07:05
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3553 with a target of 1.3150–1.2936. A sell signal: the price holds below 1.3553. Stop Loss: above 1.3590, Take Profit: 1.3150–1.2936. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above 1.3553 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.3870–1.4300. A buy signal: the level of 1.3553 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 1.3515, Take Profit: 1.3870–1.4300. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3553 with a target of 1.3150–1.2936. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation above 1.3553 will allow the pair... Read full author’s opinio... .. read more..
What Is Supporting and Weakening the U.S. Dollar? (Markets Await News on US-I...
Friday, May 22,2026,06:58
Since the beginning of the Middle East conflict, the U.S. dollar has remained under strong geopolitical influence. This has led to gains in the currency amid hopes for peace and, conversely, declines whenever those expectations fail to materialize. What Determines the Strength and Weakness of the U.S. Dollar? This is a key question affecting not only currency pairs involving the dollar, but also a wide range of other assets, including gold. At the moment, many market participants appear to believe that the dollar is unlikely to strengthen significantly again. A large number of investors assume that major currencies currently have stronger positions relative to the U.S. dollar. Let us exam... .. read more..
USD/JPY: Tips for Beginner Traders on May 22 (U.S. Session)
Friday, May 22,2026,06:56
Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the Japanese Yen The price did not reach the levels I identified during the first half of the day, so I remained without any trades. The USD/JPY pair continues to trade in its own range and is showing no significant volatility. On the one hand, there are few traders willing to buy near the 160 level, but on the other hand, there is also little interest in selling the dollar. Perhaps today's U.S. economic data could change the situation. Market participants will focus on the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. Its release is expected to provide valuable insight into consumers' assessment of the current economic environment and their personal... .. read more..
GBP/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders on May 22 (U.S. Session)
Friday, May 22,2026,06:53
Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the British Pound The test of the 1.3418 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. A second test of 1.3418 triggered the implementation of Buy Scenario No. 2 for the pound, resulting in a 15-point rise in the pair. Investors' attention today will focus on the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This indicator, considered one of the leading indicators of consumer activity, could significantly affect market dynamics. Strong data may strengthen confidence in stable economic growth, while weak figures could raise concerns about an economic slowdown. A... .. read more..
EUR/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders on May 22 (U.S. Session)
Friday, May 22,2026,06:50
Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the European Currency The test of the 1.1607 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined by only 7 points. Going forward, investors and analysts will focus on a series of important U.S. macroeconomic reports. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected to be released, which is considered an important indicator of consumer confidence and, consequently, potential consumer spending. At the same time, inflation expectations data will also be published. These figures are of critical importance for underst... .. read more..
German Ifo Business Sentiment Rises
Friday, May 22,2026,06:48
German business sentiment improved in May after falling for two straight months but the index remained at a low level as energy shock triggered by the near closure of the Strait of Hormuz weigh on manufacturing, survey results from the ifo Institute showed Friday. The business climate index posted 84.9 in May, up from 84.5 in April. The reading was also above economists' forecast of 84.2. .. read more..
Rupee rises 63 paise to close at 95.73 against US dollar
Friday, May 22,2026,06:45
Forex traders said markets found some comfort after comments from US Secretary of State Marco Rubio hinted that diplomatic talks linked to the Iran situation were moving in a constructive direction. .. read more..
Gold Adapts to a New Reality. Forecast as of 22.05.2026
Friday, May 22,2026,06:45
Average inflation levels have risen significantly in recent years, leading to higher interest rates. Gold had previously resisted these headwinds, but the conflict in the Middle East has deprived it of key advantages. Let's discuss this topic and outline a trading plan for XAU/USD. Major Takeaways The external backdrop remains unfavorable for gold. The Fed's cautious stance is supporting XAU/USD. The outlook for the yellow metal depends on developments in the Middle East. A breakout below $4,455 would be a signal to sell gold. Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Gold Gold managed to recover after the sell-off in mid-May but remains... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 22.05.26–29.05.26
Friday, May 22,2026,06:35
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.1795 with a target of 1.1350–1.1115. A sell signal: the price holds below 1.1795. Stop Loss: above 1.1835, Take Profit: 1.1350–1.1115. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.1795 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.2088–1.2400. A buy signal: the level of 1.1795 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 1.1755, Take Profit: 1.2088–1.2400. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.1795 with a target of 1.1350–1.1115. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation above 1.1795 will... Read full author’s opinion ... .. read more..
RBI helping hand muscles breathing room for rupee, cools forward premiums
Friday, May 22,2026,06:32
The Indian rupee strengthened to close above 96 per dollar for the first time in a week, following aggressive interventions by the Reserve Bank of India. The central bank sold billions of dollars and engaged in buy/sell swaps, pushing the rupee up despite rising crude oil prices. Analysts remain cautious, predicting potential further weakening if geopolitical tensions escalate. .. read more..
USD/CHF: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 22.05.26–29.05.26
Friday, May 22,2026,06:05
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 0.7755 with a target of 0.8220–0.8400. A buy signal: the price holds above 0.7755. Stop Loss: below 0.7715, Take Profit: 0.8220–0.8400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 0.7755 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 0.7600–0.7420. A sell signal: the level of 0.7755 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 0.7795, Take Profit: 0.7600–0.7420. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 0.7755 with a target of 0.8220–0.8400. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 0.7755 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels... Read full a... .. read more..
UK Retail Sales Fall Most In Nearly A Year; Consumer Sentiment Rises
Friday, May 22,2026,05:58
UK retail sales declined at the fastest pace in nearly a year in April as consumers reduced fuel purchases after the outbreak of the conflict in the Middle East. A private survey today showed that British consumer sentiment improved in May but rising inflation and continued uncertainty around the interest rate raised concerns about the sustainability of this improvement. .. read more..
Solace for quantum investors as long weekend awaits.
Friday, May 22,2026,05:48
US quantum computing stocks get a public investor. Listen to the full episode now or follow the Saxo Market Call on your favourite podcast app. Links Blonde Money is worth a follow, particularly recently on the UK political situation . Passive investing might blow up the stock market once it has become too dominant , at least according to models. The discussion is rambling, but some great nuggets in there. The valuation maestro Aswath Damodaran puts together the case for a SpaceX valuation of USD 1.2 trillion . Nasdaq bending over backwards to secure the SpaceX listing will guarantee enormous passive allocations to the company very early on , whatever its general level of financial succes... .. read more..
USD/CAD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 22.05.26–29.05.26
Friday, May 22,2026,05:35
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3966 with a target of 1.3400–1.3065. A sell signal: the price holds below 1.3966. Stop Loss: above 1.4005, Take Profit: 1.3400–1.3065. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.3966 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.4124–1.4350. A buy signal: the level of 1.3966 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 1.3925, Take Profit: 1.4124–1.4350. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3966 with a target of 1.3400–1.3065. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation above 1.3966 will... Read full author’s opinion ... .. read more..
EUR/USD Analysis and Forecast – May 22: Iran Will Not Hand Over Enriched Uran...
Friday, May 22,2026,05:31
On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair once again rebounded from the 50.0% corrective level at 1.1630, declined toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1578, rebounded from this level, and returned to 1.1630. This was followed by another rebound from 1.1630, once again allowing traders to anticipate a decline toward the 1.1578 level. Consolidation above 1.1630 would allow for continued growth of the euro toward the next corrective level of 38.2% at 1.1682. The wave structure on the hourly chart currently remains relatively straightforward. The latest completed upward wave exceeded the previous peak by only a few points, while the latest downward wave, which has not yet been completed, broke below th... .. read more..