FX Weekly Recap: August 11 – 15, 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,17:41
GBP surged while Swiss franc drops amid Trump’s tariffs. Data & the Fed signaled September cuts to bring bearish sentiment onto USD into the weekend. .. read more..
NZDUSD technicals: The NZDUSD ending the week with a modest bearish bias
Friday, August 15,2025,16:07
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com. .. read more..
EURUSD Technicals: The EURUSD is higher on the week, with buyers holding the...
Friday, August 15,2025,14:14
The EURUSD is higher in the week but had its shares of ups and downs. Yesterday, the price made a run to the downside, but found support buyers against its rising 200 hour moving average, the underside of the broken trendline, and the high of a swing area. That kept the buyers in play in the price pushed higher in trading on Friday. The momentum to the upside dictate the price above a swing area at 1.1692 and 1.1703. The high price extended to 1.0714. The price has wandered lower but so far has remained above the aforementioned swing area. That area will be a close support going into the new trading week. Staying above it would give the buyers the full control. Alternatively, the broken 1... .. read more..
Markets Weekly Outlook – Jackson Hole, NZ Rate Decisions and UK/EU Inflation ...
Friday, August 15,2025,14:07
A week ahead preview: US PPI data has moved the September rate cut narrative, with the Jackson Hole Symposium approaching and central bank meetings for NZ and Canada, Markets will get a strong current of new info. Get ready for the upcoming week by looking at what changed and the key events to expect. .. read more..
GBP/USD Analysis on August 15, 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,14:06
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward impulsive structure. The wave picture is almost identical to EUR/USD, as the sole "driver of the situation" remains the U.S. dollar. Medium-term demand for the dollar is falling across the market, resulting in similar dynamics across many instruments. At present, wave 4 is presumably complete. If this is correct, the pair's rise will continue within impulsive wave 5. While wave 4 could still take the form of a five-wave structure, this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much in the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies — and not only trade-related ones. Positive news f... .. read more..
EUR/USD Analysis on August 15, 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,13:58
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is a positive sign. Even when corrective waves form, the overall structure remains intact, allowing for accurate forecasts. It is worth noting that wave structures do not always resemble textbook examples. The formation of an upward trend segment is ongoing, with the news backdrop largely favoring the euro rather than the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues, as does the confrontation with the Federal Reserve. Dovish expectations are growing. Trump's "One Big Law" will increase U.S. government debt by 3 trillion dollars, while the president continues to raise and impose n... .. read more..
USDCAD is higher on the week but activity was limited as buyers and sellers b...
Friday, August 15,2025,12:06
The USDCAD has moved higher this week, but it hasn’t been a smooth ride. The low for the week was set on Monday, with the total trading range holding to a relatively narrow 70–75 pips. The high was reached on Thursday, coming in near a swing high from August 1. Today’s pullback tested the rising 100-hour moving average at 1.37807, but sellers could only push the price to 1.3788 before a modest rebound to the upside. Technically, the price spent much of Monday through Thursday oscillating around its 100-day moving average — a level that often serves as a key support or resistance zone. This week, however, it acted more as a magnet, reflecting an ongoing tug-of-war between buyers and seller... .. read more..
U.S. Business Inventories Rise In Line With Estimates In June
Friday, August 15,2025,11:45
A report released by the Commerce Department on Friday showed business inventories in the U.S. increased in line with economist estimates in the month of June. The Commerce Department said business inventories rose by 0.2 percent in June after coming in unchanged in May. The uptick matched expectations. .. read more..
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Unexpectedly Deteriorates In August
Friday, August 15,2025,11:27
Consumer sentiment in the U.S. has unexpectedly deteriorated in the month of August, according to preliminary data released by the University of Michigan on Friday. The University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index fell to 58.6 in August from 61.7 in July. Economists had expected the index to inch up to 62.0. .. read more..
AUDUSD consolidates into new range after the RBA rate cut
Friday, August 15,2025,11:07
AUDUSD faces choppy trading after a pivotal week for both currencies. The RBA’s 25 bps cut to 3.60% briefly lifted the Aussie but saw some reversals yesterday. In the US, a calm CPI was quickly overshadowed by hot PPI data showing tariff-led inflation. With the USD’s gains fading today, traders turn to technicals for clues in this indecisive trading in the Aussie pair. .. read more..
U.S. Industrial Production Pulls Back Slightly In July
Friday, August 15,2025,10:58
A report released by the Federal Reserve on Friday showed a modest decrease by U.S. industrial production in the month of July. The Fed said industrial production edged down by 0.1 percent in July after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.4 percent in June. Economists had expected industrial production to come in unchanged. .. read more..
Dow Jones (DJIA) Retreats from Fresh All-Time Highs. A Pause Before the Next ...
Friday, August 15,2025,10:43
Dow retreats from record highs. US retail sales up, manufacturing down. Global equity funds see inflows, boosted by lower inflation & trade truce. Technical analysis and client sentiment discussed. .. read more..
New York Manufacturing Index Unexpectedly Climbs To Nine-Month High In August
Friday, August 15,2025,10:34
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York released a report on Friday showing regional manufacturing activity unexpectedly grew at a faster rate in the month of August. The New York Fed said its general business conditions index climbed to 11.9 in August from 5.5 in July, with a positive reading indicating growth. Economists had expected the index to fall to 0.5. .. read more..
Technical outlook for US Oil WTI before the Trump–Putin meeting
Friday, August 15,2025,10:01
WTI Oil is in the radar as traders brace for the upcoming Trump–Putin Meeting approaching (11:30 A.M. ET). Discover the technical levels for the commodity as volatility is expected to rise. Stay connected to the latest headlines. .. read more..
U.S. Import Price Growth Exceeds Estimates In July
Friday, August 15,2025,10:00
The Labor Department released a report on Friday showing import prices in the U.S. increased by more than expected in the month of July. The report said import prices climbed by 0.4 percent in July after a downwardly revised 0.1 percent dip in June. Economists had expected import prices to inch up by 0.1 percent, matching the 0.1 percent uptick originally reported for the previous month. .. read more..
USDCHF technicals: The USDCHF is back in the lower end of the trading week an...
Friday, August 15,2025,09:56
The USDCHF hit its highest since Aug 1 on Monday to start the new week, then reversed hard on Tuesday, slicing below the 100- and 200-hour MAs (blue and green lines) and extending through the 50% retracement at 0.80405 into a June swing zone at 0.8017–0.80233. Buyers defended that area, forcing a rebound back above the 100/200-hour MAs before momentum faded into the close. Today, price failed to hold above the moving averages and rolled over again. U.S. retail sales headlines sparked a pop toward those MAs, but sellers re-emerged and pushed the pair lower. The USDCHF has rotated back toward session lows near 0.8048. Bias: Below the 100/200-hour MAs (~0.8075), the short-term bias favors se... .. read more..
Indecision Candlestick Patterns: What Is It & How To Trade It?
Friday, August 15,2025,09:47
When trading on the foreign exchange market, traders tend to look for signals and indecision candlesticks on the chart. The latter are the most popular elements of technical analysis. There are various candlestick patterns, but the most reliable Japanese candlesticks appear only rarely. These include indecision candlesticks such as the Dragonfly Doji and Gravestone Doji. These candlesticks perform exceptionally well on higher time frames, often generating profits of up to 10%–12%. This article explains how to use candlestick patterns to make informed trading decisions. Major Takeaways What are indecision candlesticks? On the chart, an indecision candlestick represents a candlestick patter... .. read more..
U.S. Retail Sales Climb 0.5% In July, In Line With Estimates
Friday, August 15,2025,09:27
A report released by the Commerce Department on Friday showed retail sales in the U.S. increased in line with economist estimates in the month of July. The Commerce Department said retail sales climbed by 0.5 percent in July after jumping by an upwardly revised 0.9 percent in June. .. read more..
U.S. Data Sways Rate Cut Hopes
Friday, August 15,2025,09:23
Sentiment in world markets remains mixed amidst key data releases from the U.S. that impacted rate cut expectations. .. read more..
Chaikin Oscillator: What It Is, How It Works, and How to Use It in Trading
Friday, August 15,2025,09:03
The Chaikin Oscillator Indicator is a popular technical analysis tool designed to measure the direction and strength of money flow. It is based on two exponential moving averages (EMAs) and the accumulation/distribution line (ADL). This momentum indicator helps traders predict the trend direction, identify bullish or bearish pressure, and spot early signals for opening/closing trades. The oscillator can be used for trading both traditional financial assets and cryptocurrencies. It detects bullish and bearish divergences, enabling more accurate price analysis. Major Takeaways The Chaikin Oscillator was developed by Mark Chaikin and is used to analyze money flow volume. The indicator is... ... .. read more..
Trading Signals for GOLD for August 15-19, 2025: sell below $3,365 (200 EMA -...
Friday, August 15,2025,08:54
Gold, having reached 61.8%, is resuming its bearish cycle and is now consolidating below the 21SMA and the 200EMA, which could further indicate the possibility of a continuation of the bearish movement. If gold consolidates below the 200EMA at 3,350 in the coming hours, any technical rebound will be seen as a signal to sell, with targets at 2/8 of the Murray at 3,320, and could even reach 0/8 of the Murray around 3,281. If a technical rebound occurs, gold could reach the top of the downtrend channel around 3,365. This level could be seen as strong resistance, and below this area we could sell. A consolidation above the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 3,378 could signal a resumption of the bullis... .. read more..
Trading Signals for BITCOIN for August 15-19, 2025: sell below $120,000 (6/8 ...
Friday, August 15,2025,08:52
Bitcoin, after reaching its high of 124,500, made a strong technical correction in less than 24 hours, reaching $117,000. A rapid correction of more than $7,000 from its peak price means that Bitcoin could continue its bearish cycle in the short term. The outlook is that we could expect BTC to reach $112,500. If Bitcoin consolidates above the 6/8 Murray level at 118,750, which has now become key support, in the coming hours, we could expect it to reach $120,000, a level that coincides with the 21-SMA and could be seen as a signal to sell. Conversely, a consolidation above the psychological level of $120,000 could see Bitcoin reach the 7/8 Murray level at 121,870 and even reach the 61.8% F... .. read more..
3 Tips for Developing Good “Atomic Habits” in Trading
Friday, August 15,2025,08:13
If you haven’t read “Atomic Habits” or if you’re not sure how it all applies to trading, I’ve rounded up some helpful nuggets that you can put in practice. .. read more..
The USD is higher to start the US trading day for August 14, 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,08:09
The USD is lower to start the US trading session. Japan had higher GDP released overnight which has helped their currency (weakened the USD). The EURUSD has trended to the upside with little in the way of corrections in trading today. That move took the price above the 100 hour MA at 1.1662 and back toward resistance "around" 1.1700. The price earlier this week extended above that area only to fail. The GBPUSD is higher too (only modestly), but is running into initial resistance at 1.3561. There is a swing area between 1.3576 to 1.35918 that stalled the rallies on Wednesday and Thursday, before rotating back to the downside. There is a full slate of economic data to be released at 8:30 AM... .. read more..
Taiwan Raises Growth Outlook
Friday, August 15,2025,08:06
Taiwan's economy is expected to grow more than previously estimated this year on robust foreign demand for artificial intelligence and emerging technology applications. The economy is projected to expand 4.45 percent this year, which was revised up from 3.1 percent estimated earlier, the Directorate General of Budget, Accounting & Statistics said Friday. .. read more..
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 15.08.25 – 22.08.25
Friday, August 15,2025,08:05
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 3,410.00 with a bearish target of 3,120.00 – 2,950.00. A sell signal: the price holds below 3,410.00. Stop Loss: above 3,440.00, Take Profit: 3,120.00 – 2,950.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 3,410.00 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 3,600.00 – 3,800.00. A buy signal: the level of 3,410.00 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 3,370.00, Take Profit: 3,600.00 – 3,800.00. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 3,410.00 with a target of... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
USD/JPY. Analysis, Forecast, and Current Market Situation
Friday, August 15,2025,07:55
From a technical perspective, yesterday's strong rebound in USD/JPY from the 146.20 level stalled at the round figure of 148.00. Sustained gains above this level could lead to a move toward 148.50. Modest renewed buying would shift the short-term bias in favor of the bulls, paving the way toward the round figure of 149.00. On the other hand, the 147.10–147.00 level is providing immediate support, below which USD/JPY could retest the multi-week low reached on Thursday near 146.20. Further selling below the round figure of 146.00 could be viewed as a new trigger for bears, making spot prices vulnerable to an extended move toward the psychological level of 145.00, with an intermediate stop n... .. read more..
Nasdaq Forecast: Volatile Session - 15 August 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,07:50
The NASDAQ 100 whipsawed on Thursday as hotter US PPI data fueled doubts over Fed rate cuts, creating turbulence near the 24,000 mark and prompting buy-on-dip strategies. .. read more..
Crude Oil Forex Signal: Rises but Faces Heavy Supply Pressure - 15 August 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,07:47
WTI crude rallied Thursday but faces strong resistance at $65 amid record US, Russian, and OPEC output. Short setup eyed on signs of exhaustion. .. read more..
USD/CHF. Analysis and Forecast
Friday, August 15,2025,07:46
Today, Friday, USD/CHF is attracting new sellers amid the broader weakening of the U.S. dollar. The initial market reaction to Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index was short-lived due to expectations of a September Fed rate cut. This remains the primary factor putting pressure on the dollar. An additional factor is the extension of the U.S.–China tariff truce for another three months, which has eased concerns about a trade war between the world's two largest economies. Hopes for an end to the prolonged conflict in Ukraine at the upcoming meeting between the U.S. and Russian presidents are also supporting optimistic market sentiment and could limit the rise of the Sw... .. read more..
USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders for August 15th (U.S. Session)
Friday, August 15,2025,07:42
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen The test of 147.05 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair fell by almost 30 points. Demand for the yen persisted after a strong report released earlier in the day on Japan's GDP growth. However, this may change during the U.S. session. Market participants are focused on retail sales and industrial production data, due in the second half of the day. Retail sales dynamics are traditionally considered an important indicator of consumer spending, which plays a significant role in U.S. GDP formation. A notable rise in re... .. read more..
GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders for August 15th (U.S. Session)
Friday, August 15,2025,07:39
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The test of 1.3554 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3554 occurred when the MACD was in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario No. 2 for selling to play out and resulted in a 10-point drop in the pair. The absence of U.K. statistics did not provide much support for the pound's growth. Traders are taking a wait-and-see approach, assessing the risks related to upcoming data from the U.K. and the U.S. At the same time, the U.S. dollar remains relatively weak on expectations of a soft... .. read more..
WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 15.08.25 – 22.08.25
Friday, August 15,2025,07:35
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 61.00 with a growth target of 77.65 – 85.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 61.00. Stop Loss: below 59.90, Take Profit: 77.65 – 85.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 61.00 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 57.50 – 54.80. A sell signal: the level of 61.00 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 62.10, Take Profit: 57.50 – 54.80. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 61.00 with a target of... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders for August 15th (U.S. Session)
Friday, August 15,2025,07:33
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro The test of 1.1675 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The euro's recovery against the U.S. dollar occurred as forecast, due to the absence of key macroeconomic data from the eurozone. Investors appear to be focusing on the potential stance of the ECB—particularly after recent comments from ECB officials on the need to stimulate regional economic growth. The euro is also supported by the weakening of the U.S. currency, which is under pressure from expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as early ... .. read more..
Gold Forecast: Retreats After Hot US PPI Data Pressures Prices - 15 August 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,07:33
Gold reversed early gains on Thursday after hotter US inflation data strengthened the dollar and yields, bringing prices closer to key technical support levels. .. read more..
Silver Forecast: Tumbles After PPI Numbers - 15 August 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,07:26
Silver prices fell back from key resistance at $39 after strong US inflation data reduced expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts, keeping the market range-bound. .. read more..
BTC/USD Forecast: Pulls Back Sharply After New Highs - 15 August 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,07:21
Bitcoin retreats from record levels as stronger US inflation data tempers Fed rate cut expectations, highlighting its growing correlation with Wall Street sentiment. .. read more..
Adjustment of Levels and Targets for the U.S. Session on August 15th
Friday, August 15,2025,07:18
The British pound, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar were traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. However, to be fair, full-scale pullbacks did not materialize. I traded the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. As expected, the absence of significant fundamental data from the eurozone allowed the euro and pound to strengthen, as well as the Australian dollar. However, demand for risk assets remains clearly restrained, and there are objective reasons for this. A wave of U.S. economic data is approaching the financial markets, capable of adjusting the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory and influencing inflation expectations. The focus will be on retail sales figu... .. read more..
Gold Returns to Its Golden Age. Forecast as of 15.08.2025.
Friday, August 15,2025,07:10
In the previous Fed rate-cutting cycle amid rising inflation in 2007–2008, gold surged 47%. History is repeating itself, and the outlook for the precious metal remains optimistic. Let's discuss it and make a trading plan for XAUUSD. Major Takeaways Tariffs sent gold on a roller coaster. The metal is now in a favorable environment. XAUUSD will rise as the Fed cuts rates. A breakout above $3,350 and $3,375 is a signal to buy gold. Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Gold Gold has rattled investors' nerves, riding a roller coaster twice — first because of tariffs, then on US inflation data. What... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
USD/JPY: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 15.08.25 – 22.08.25
Friday, August 15,2025,07:05
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 146.20 with a growth target of 154.80 – 158.85. A buy signal: the price holds above 146.20. Stop Loss: below 145.80, Take Profit: 154.80 – 158.85. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 146.20 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 142.00 – 138.65. A sell signal: the level of 146.20 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 146.60, Take Profit: 142.00 – 138.65. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 146.20 with a target of... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
AUD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast
Friday, August 15,2025,06:47
According to data released today by Japan's Cabinet Office, the Japanese economy grew by 1% year-on-year in the April–June period. This figure significantly exceeded analysts' expectations of 0.4% growth and also marked a reversal from the 0.2% contraction recorded in the first quarter. These results reinforced the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance and kept open the possibility of a rate hike before the end of this year. Such a scenario is putting pressure on the AUD/JPY pair. The Australian dollar's weak performance against the yen is also linked to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) dovish approach. Earlier this week, the RBA cut its interest rate for the third time in 2025 — returning ... .. read more..
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast
Friday, August 15,2025,06:42
Gold is attempting to recover its upward momentum, partially offsetting the previous day's losses, but the market remains uncertain about further movement. The U.S. dollar is exerting a favorable influence on prices, attracting new sellers despite Thursday's stronger-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Traders believe the Federal Reserve could resume its rate-cutting cycle as early as September, which supports renewed demand for gold. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, there is a probability of two Fed rate cuts of 25 basis points each before the end of this year. Such expectations limit further U.S. dollar strength and create favorable conditions for gold price growth. At... .. read more..
Forecast for EUR/USD on August 15, 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,06:37
On Thursday, EUR/USD returned to the support zone at 1.1637–1.1645, but the bears failed to push further. A rebound from this zone would favor the euro and a resumption of growth toward the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695, and most likely even higher. A consolidation below 1.1637–1.1645 would allow traders to expect a stronger U.S. dollar move toward 1.1590 and 1.1544. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains straightforward. The last completed upward wave broke the high of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thus, the trend can currently be considered bullish, though it has been changing too often lately due to the news back... .. read more..
GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 15.08.25 – 22.08.25
Friday, August 15,2025,06:35
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.3132 with a growth target of 1.3850 – 1.4000. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3132. Stop Loss: below 1.3090, Take Profit: 1.3850 – 1.4000. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.3132 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.2936 – 1.2735. A sell signal: the level of 1.3132 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.3175, Take Profit: 1.2936 – 1.2735. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.3132 with a target of... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Forecast for GBP/USD on August 15, 2025
Friday, August 15,2025,06:31
On the hourly chart, GBP/USD on Thursday rebounded from the 100.0% retracement level at 1.3586, turned in favor of the U.S. dollar, and saw a modest decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. Today, the decline may continue. A consolidation above 1.3586 (and above the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620) or a rebound from 1.3482 would work in favor of the pound and a resumption of the bullish trend. The wave structure remains bearish, which may seem unusual after a two-week rise. The last completed upward wave broke the highs of the two previous waves, but the most recent downward wave broke all previous lows. News flow played a major role in shaping the wave pattern seen in recent ... .. read more..
Intel stock rallying. Markets moderate expectations of Fed's rate cut
Friday, August 15,2025,06:21
The intraday dynamics of the major stock indices: the Dow Jones -0.02%, the S&P 500 +0.03%, the Nasdaq -0.01%. Intel shares are climbing on news of a possible government stock purchase. Producer inflation in July rose more than expected. Markets are scaling back expectations for a Fed rate cut in 2025. The Nikkei resumed gains as GDP beat forecasts. Deere and Tapestry signaled tensions related to US tariffs. Wall Street ends the day mixed On Thursday, the US stock market showed mixed performance: the S&P 500 closed at a new record high, while the Dow Jones and Nasdaq were virtually unchanged. Investors reacted to fresh producer price data, which came in above forecasts and reduced... .. read more..
Gold Prices Drop Sharply
Friday, August 15,2025,06:14
Yesterday, gold prices returned to a one-week low after traders reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next month following an increase in inflation. The strengthening of the U.S. dollar, driven by a reassessment of monetary policy prospects, added further pressure on the precious metal. Gold typically shows an inverse correlation with the dollar, so a stronger U.S. currency reduces its appeal for investors holding other currencies. Expectations that interest rates will remain elevated for longer also weigh on gold, as the asset does not generate interest income, making it less attractive compared to bonds and other fixed-income instruments in a high-rate environment. However... .. read more..
U.S. Economy Remains Resilient
Friday, August 15,2025,06:06
While the U.S. dollar is trying to hold on to the recent gains it secured from yesterday's strong U.S. inflation data, Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Barkin said Thursday he sees signs that consumer conditions in the U.S. improved in July after weakening earlier in the year. "I feel that consumer activity will improve in July," Barkin said during a webinar organized by the National Association for Business Economics. "If you look, for example, at weekly credit card data, the situation appears much more favorable." Barkin, who does not have a vote on interest rate decisions this year, spoke ahead of the release of July retail sales data. He noted that there had been a tempo... .. read more..
EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 15.08.25 – 22.08.25
Friday, August 15,2025,06:05
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.1385 with a growth target of 1.2050 – 1.2400. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1385. Stop Loss: below 1.1340, Take Profit: 1.2050 – 1.2400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.1385 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.1004 – 1.0809. A sell signal: the level of 1.1385 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.1425, Take Profit: 1.1004 – 1.0809. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.1385 with a target of... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Commodities weekly: metals and softs rise in August as energy and grains slide
Friday, August 15,2025,06:00
Key points in this update: BCOM TR Index down ~1% in August as gains in metals and softs offset by grains and a steep energy drop. Silver and platinum shine as gold remains range bound waiting for the next trigger with focus on Fed and inflation. Energy hit by softening demand outlook, OPEC+ supply boost, and strong gas storage. Corn and wheat fall on record US crop outlooks; soybeans firm, coffee up over 10% on Brazil weather. Macro overview August has so far been shaped by a tug-of-war between supportive supply-side stories in parts of the commodity market and macro headwinds from weakening economic data in the US and around the world. The latest US inflation data, in the form of ... .. read more..