Slowing Inflation Reshapes US Dollar Outlook. Forecast as of 16.07.2026
Thursday, July 16,2026,02:23
While at the outset of the armed conflict in the Middle East, oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and the US dollar were all moving in the same direction, everything changed in July as US inflation slowed. Let's discuss this topic and develop a trading plan for the EUR/USD pair. Major Takeaways The correlation between oil and Treasuries has changed. Producer prices indicate that inflation has peaked. Remarks by FOMC officials are weakening the US dollar. A decisive break above 1.147 will give a buy signal. Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Dollar If the US wants to take control of the Strait... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Bank Of Korea Hikes Policy Rate For First Time Since 2023
Thursday, July 16,2026,01:53
The Bank of Korea raised its benchmark interest rate for the first time since 2023 on Thursday as inflation is projected to stay above 2 percent target for a considerable time. The Monetary Policy Board of the Bank of Korea unanimously decided to hike the base rate by 25 basis points to 2.75 percent. .. read more..
Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU) on July 16-18, 2026: buy above $4,022 (21 SMA ...
Thursday, July 16,2026,00:43
Gold is trading around $4,031, after pulling back when it hit strong resistance around $4,081 during Wednesday's US trading session. This level coincided with the upper band of the downtrend channel that has been forming since early July. Currently, XAU is trading near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, so we believe the uptrend could resume in the coming days. The daily S_1 support level is around $4,022; a technical bounce above this zone could be considered an opportunity to open long positions with targets at $4,070 and, ultimately, around the 2/8 Murray level. A decisive breakout and consolidation above the downtrend channel could be interpreted as a positive buy signal, with tar... .. read more..
Trading Signals for Crude Oil (CL) on July 16-18, 2026: buy above $77.50 (21 ...
Thursday, July 16,2026,00:40
Oil is trading around $79.02, showing an upward trend since the opening of this week's session, which is generating good returns. However, on the H4 chart, we can see signs of exhaustion, and it is likely to bounce at $77.90, after which the instrument could resume its uptrend until the price reaches the upper band of the bullish channel, around $82. USD/OIL reached the psychological level of $80 and has left a gap around $71.38. Therefore, we believe that if it falls below the 200 EMA—around $77.80—in the coming days, the outlook could turn negative, and we could expect it to reach the 4/8 Murray level and, ultimately, the 3/8 Murray level, around $68.75. As long as the price of crude oi... .. read more..
Rupee slips 6 paise to 96.31 against US dollar in early trade
Thursday, July 16,2026,00:36
FII outflows continued to weigh on the local unit while a positive start to the day at the domestic equity markets provided support .. read more..
What to Focus on July 16? Analysis of Fundamental Events for Beginners
Wednesday, July 15,2026,23:34
Overview of Macroeconomic Reports: There are several macroeconomic publications scheduled for Thursday, but none are truly significant. In the U.K., data on GDP and industrial production for May will be released, which generally do not generate much excitement among traders. Additionally, the GDP report will be released monthly rather than quarterly or annually. In the U.S., reports on unemployment claims and retail sales will be published. The most important report among these is the retail sales data. In the European Union, the calendar of macroeconomic events is empty today. Analysis of Fundamental Events: Among the fundamental events on Thursday are the speeches by Federal Reserve rep... .. read more..
How to Trade the GBP/USD Currency Pair on July 16? Simple Tips and Trade Anal...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,23:15
Trade Analysis for Wednesday: 1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday, although there were significantly fewer local grounds for it than on Tuesday. Recall that on Tuesday, the most important report of the week—on inflation—was released in the U.S. The report was resonant and unexpected, with the inflation rate dropping to 3.5%, prompting the Federal Reserve to potentially soften its "hawkish" stance on monetary policy. Thus, the dollar's decline on Tuesday is understandable. However, the only interesting event on Wednesday was the U.S. producer price index, which also did not favor the dollar as it slowed more than expected. Yet the American curren... .. read more..
How to Trade the EUR/USD Currency Pair on July 16? Simple Tips and Trade Anal...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,23:02
Trade Analysis for Wednesday: 1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair moved higher on Wednesday, allowing it to exit the sideways channel at 1.1377-1.1461 for the first time in three weeks. Thus, the flat may be over, and the euro now has the opportunity to establish its trend after a long pause. Recall that the British pound has shown significant growth over the past three weeks, which we consider entirely justifiable. In recent months, the market has stopped paying attention to fundamentals, geopolitics, and macroeconomics, leading to the dollar's unjustified rise. However, this could not continue indefinitely. In the long term, the bullish trends for both the euro and the pound r... .. read more..
Trading Recommendations and Analysis of GBP/USD on July 16. The Pound's Momen...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,22:30
GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair showed an increase of 150 pips on Wednesday. The British currency has been rising for three consecutive weeks, and we consider this development entirely justified. Recall that we have repeatedly pointed out the illogicality of the last wave of U.S. dollar strengthening. In addition, we noted that the GBP/USD pair was at the lower end of the yearly sideways channel on the daily and weekly timeframes. Thus, the current upward movement is a restoration of fair value and a technical move after testing the lower boundary of the flat. The dollar has exhausted all available growth factors in 2026. In the final stages of the downtrend, the market paid... .. read more..
Trading Recommendations and Analysis of EUR/USD on July 16. Is the Flat Over?
Wednesday, July 15,2026,22:30
EUR/USD 5M Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair showed quite a decent increase on Wednesday, but much of it again occurred within the sideways channel. Recall that this week at least two reports were released that should have significantly reduced market interest in the dollar. First, U.S. inflation was published, coming in significantly lower than expected, followed by the producer price index, which also showed a fairly low value. Weak readings from both inflation indicators suggest the Federal Reserve may be inclined to tighten monetary policy, but whether it is needed remains a big question. If inflation is falling, the central bank has no need to raise rates here and now. Thus, at leas... .. read more..
Overview of the GBP/USD Pair. July 16. The Pound Sterling Doesn't Want to Stop
Wednesday, July 15,2026,22:30
The GBP/USD currency pair surged upward on Wednesday for no apparent reason. On Tuesday, the pound also exhibited volatility of more than 100 pips, which can be easily explained by a resonant inflation report. Traders expected U.S. inflation to slow to 3.8%, but the actual figure was 3.5%. The market's "hawkish" expectations for the next two meetings immediately diminished, but the U.S. dollar may still show some growth in the coming days. There are no significant events scheduled for the rest of the week in either the U.K. or the U.S., so it's an ideal time for a correction after three weeks of growth. Overall, the future of the British pound now depends on geopolitics and the actions of... .. read more..
Overview of the EUR/USD Pair. July 16. What Did Kevin Warsh Say in Congress?
Wednesday, July 15,2026,22:30
The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade within a narrow sideways channel on Wednesday, which is clearly visible on the 4-hour timeframe. On Tuesday, inflation data for June was released in the United States, and traders had high hopes. On Tuesday and Wednesday, there were two speeches by the new head of the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, in the U.S. Congress. The market also had great expectations for these events. However, what hopes did the market have, and were they justified? In short, no. The hopes were not justified because the market did not initially understand what to expect. Let us remind you that a month ago, Warsh stated that inflation in the United States is too high, has... .. read more..
Dollar near one-month low as cooling inflation curbs Fed hike bets
Wednesday, July 15,2026,22:08
The U.S. dollar weakened near a one-month low on Thursday. Soft inflation data reinforced expectations of a patient Federal Reserve policy. Escalation in Middle East hostilities added upside risk to inflation outlook. Oil prices remained near one-month highs due to regional energy export threats. The U.S. dollar index hovered near its lowest level since June. .. read more..
BOC Kept Rates on Hold for Sixth Consecutive Meeting, Inflation Outlook Uncer...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,21:22
The Bank of Canada left its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% on July 15, pointing to a resumption of economic growth and a gradually improving inflation picture. .. read more..
Rupee slips 5 paise on safe-haven dollar demand
Wednesday, July 15,2026,20:11
The Indian rupee closed marginally weaker at 96.26 against the US dollar on Wednesday. Safe haven dollar demand kept the rupee on a weaker footing throughout the trading session. Mild central bank interventions helped contain further losses for the Indian currency. Meanwhile, Brent futures climbed two percent to $86.44 a barrel. This oil price increase occurred as the US reimposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports. .. read more..
Is IBM’s Blowup a Warning for the Rest of Tech?
Wednesday, July 15,2026,20:06
IBM’s historic 25% plunge may signal broader trouble as AI infrastructure spending drains budgets from software and non-AI tech. What comes next? .. read more..
XAU/USD: Balancing at $4050.00 Amid Inflation Data
Wednesday, July 15,2026,18:57
The XAU/USD pair concludes a tense day near the marks of 4068.00 and 4076.00, which correspond to short-term resistance levels (144- and 200-period EMAs on the 1-hour chart), consolidating after the publication of U.S. inflation data that came in weaker than expected. Gold reacted with a short-term rise above 4070.00, but then returned to levels seen at the beginning of the week as the market shifted its focus back to renewed geopolitical tensions and oil price dynamics. The day's results demonstrate that inflationary risks, fueled by the energy crisis, continue to weigh on the metal, offsetting the positive effect of cooling consumer prices in the U.S. Day's Results: Weak CPI and PPI Aga... .. read more..
The Dollar Takes a Timeout
Wednesday, July 15,2026,18:57
Slow and steady wins the race. The U.S. dollar has decided to take a break after the drop experienced the previous day. The reason for the plunge was significant: U.S. inflation in June slowed to 3.5% year-over-year, contrary to the forecasts of Wall Street Journal experts, who expected 3.8%. The May figure of 4.2% now appears to be a peak rather than a beginning of acceleration. Dynamics of American Inflation The reaction from the futures market was instantaneous. The probability of a rate hike for the federal funds during the Federal Reserve's July meeting collapsed from nearly 40% to 17%. One month of data does not define the trend, but it does strip the central bank of immediate reaso... .. read more..
WTI. Price Analysis. Forecast. 20% of Global Energy Flows Face Disruptions Du...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,18:57
The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is consolidating around the July high of approximately $80.60, attempting to break and hold above the 50-day EMA. The rise in oil prices is attributed to increasing fears of a blockade of oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz amid a recent round of military strikes by the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) against Iran. The operation was focused on dozens of military assets along the Iranian coast and in the Strait of Hormuz—a key maritime artery through which nearly 20% of the world's energy flows. In coordinated attacks, U.S. fighter jets, drones, and naval forces used precision munitions against Iranian missile installations and dron... .. read more..
GBP/JPY: Price Analysis. Forecast. The Decrease in Political Uncertainty in t...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,18:57
On Wednesday, the GBP/JPY pair posted gains for the third consecutive day, reaching a new weekly high of around 217.70. Moreover, current spot prices are within reach of the highest levels since January 2008 and seem poised for further upward movement, supported by a positive fundamental backdrop. Despite potential risks of intervention, the Japanese yen continues to show relatively low yields due to the significant difference in interest rates between Japan and other major economies, including the UK. In June, the Bank of Japan raised its short-term interest rate to 1%, the highest level since 1995, while the Bank of England's base rate stands at 3.75%. This creates a 275-basis-point gap... .. read more..
TA Alert of the Day: EUR/NZD Selloff Pushes RSI Into Oversold Territory
Wednesday, July 15,2026,17:30
An oversold RSI reading suggests EUR/NZD may be stretched after its recent selloff. Will momentum recover or will support break? .. read more..
Financial & Forex Market Recap – July 15, 2026
Wednesday, July 15,2026,16:44
Softer U.S. producer prices cooled Fed hike bets, sending the dollar and Treasury yields lower while lifting stocks a second day. Sterling led the majors higher. .. read more..
China GDP Misses Q2 Growth Target
Wednesday, July 15,2026,14:35
China’s GDP grew 4.3% year-over-year in Q2 2026, missing forecasts and Beijing’s growth target for the first time since Covid, as investment and consumer spending stayed weak. .. read more..
EURUSD moves toward a familiar topside target area
Wednesday, July 15,2026,13:36
The EURUSD has extended its rally, climbing to a new session high of 1.1456 as the U.S. dollar remains under pressure following another round of softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data. This week's CPI and today's PPI reports have reinforced the view that inflation pressures continue to ease, fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve may have greater flexibility to keep rate unchanged, and a door open for lower rates at sometime in the future if the trend continues. That shift in sentiment has pushed Treasury yields lower, with the 2-year yield down 5.6 basis points to 4.136% and the 10-year yield lower by 3.6 basis points to 4.549%, helping to weigh on the greenback and support the ... .. read more..
EUR/USD. Weak PPI Data Puts Pressure on the US Dollar
Wednesday, July 15,2026,13:26
The Producer Price Index (PPI) report released today became the second consecutive indication of easing inflationary pressure in the United States, following yesterday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. This is an important development. While the CPI report pointed to slower price growth at the consumer level, the PPI report showed that price pressures are also easing at the production stage, reducing the risk that higher production costs will continue to be passed on to consumers. According to the published data, headline PPI unexpectedly fell by 0.3% month-on-month in June after an upwardly revised 0.6% increase in the previous month. It was the first negative monthly reading since Sept... .. read more..
EUR/USD Analysis – July 15th: The US Dollar Remains Unchanged Despite Softer ...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,13:25
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD continues to evolve. There is still no indication that the upward trend segment (shown in the lower chart), which began in January of last year, has been invalidated. However, its wave structure has now taken on a corrective form. From a long-term perspective, wave C is expected to develop, with its low positioned below the low of wave A. At present, wave C has already moved below the low of wave A, meaning it could be completed at any time. Nevertheless, if the fundamental backdrop remains favorable for the U.S. dollar, this wave could extend significantly further. On the lower time frame, I can identify a classic five-wave bearish structu... .. read more..
The US Dollar May Continue Its Gradual Decline (AUD/USD and NZD/USD Could Mov...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,13:25
The U.S. dollar may continue to weaken if the conflict in the Middle East remains limited in scope and expectations for higher U.S. interest rates continue to decline. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released on Tuesday confirmed that inflation slowed in June compared with May, as expected. Moreover, the figures came in noticeably below both market forecasts and the consensus estimates. According to the report, annual headline CPI slowed from 4.2% to 3.5%, compared with expectations of 3.8%. On a monthly basis, June CPI fell by 0.4%, marking a deflationary reading and exceeding expectations for a 0.1% decline. Annual core CPI eased from 2.9% to 2.6%, below the consensus forecast ... .. read more..
The Yen: A Central Bank Finally Moving, a Currency Still Anchored
Wednesday, July 15,2026,13:04
The Bank of Japan hiked to 1%, its highest rate since 1995, yet the yen stayed near 40-year lows. Build your own bias on the JPY. .. read more..
EUR/USD – Smart Money Analysis: Kevin Warsh Did Not Support Further Euro Gains
Wednesday, July 15,2026,12:16
The EUR/USD pair remains within a local bearish impulse. However, over the past two weeks, bulls have managed to push bears back slightly. The euro's gains have been modest, but that is still preferable to another decline. The bulls have made their move, while the pair's near-term outlook—at least for this week—will depend on geopolitical developments, inflation, and Kevin Warsh's stance. We can already draw certain conclusions regarding two of these three factors. Yesterday, it became known that U.S. inflation slowed to 3.5% year-on-year, rather than the 3.8% expected by the market, significantly reducing the likelihood of further FOMC monetary policy tightening. I do not believe this me... .. read more..
GBP/USD – Smart Money Analysis: The Pound Continues to Outperform the Euro
Wednesday, July 15,2026,12:16
GBP/USD has posted a strong rally in recent weeks, which may mark the beginning of a new bullish trend. Bears proved unable to regain control this week despite two further escalations in the Middle East and the current suspension of negotiations. Donald Trump has already revoked the authorization allowing Iran to sell oil under the peace agreement and has imposed a blockade on Iranian ports. In response, Iran has once again closed the Strait of Hormuz from its side. As a result, the ceasefire and peace negotiations have effectively come to an end. Even so, traders do not yet believe that the war will resume, as similar situations have occurred more than once before, with both sides eventu... .. read more..
GBPUSD moves to a new session high. Tests retracement and swing area target.
Wednesday, July 15,2026,10:48
The GBPUSD is extending its rally after weaker-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data reinforced the view that inflation pressures continue to ease. Following yesterday's softer CPI report, today's PPI release added to the disinflation narrative, prompting another wave of U.S. dollar selling. Treasury yields also moved lower, with the two-year yield falling around 4 basis points as traders further reduced expectations for Fed tightening at least in the near term. The combination of a weaker dollar and lower yields has provided another tailwind for sterling, allowing the pair to build on yesterday's gains. From a technical perspective, the bullish momentum has pushed the GBPUSD... .. read more..
New York Manufacturing Activity Picks Up Considerably In July
Wednesday, July 15,2026,10:31
A report released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Wednesday showed regional manufacturing activity has picked up considerably in the month of July. The New York Fed said its general business conditions index jumped to 15.6 in July from 5.7 in June, with a positive reading indicating growth. Economists had expected the index to climb to 8.6. .. read more..
Bank Of Canada Holds Interest Rates Steady
Wednesday, July 15,2026,10:26
The Bank of Canada on Wednesday announced its widely expected decision to once again leave interest rates unchanged. The Canadian central bank said it decided to hold its target for the overnight rate at 2.25 percent, with the Bank Rate at 2.50 percent and the deposit rate at 2.20 percent. .. read more..
U.S. Producer Prices Dip More Than Expected In June As Energy Prices Plunge
Wednesday, July 15,2026,10:02
Producer prices in the U.S. decreased by more than expected in the month of June, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Wednesday. The Labor Department said its producer price index for final demand fell by 0.3 percent in June after climbing by a downwardly revised 0.6 percent in May. .. read more..
Antipodean Currencies Rise Amid Oil Price Surges
Wednesday, July 15,2026,09:49
The antipodean currencies such as the Australia and the New Zealand dollars strengthened against their major currencies in the European session on Wednesday, as the crude oil prices traded higher as the U.S and Iran escalated a standoff over control of the Strait of Hormuz, raising fears of prolonged disruptions to energy supplies. .. read more..
The USDCAD is back to unchanged on the day after correcting higher from yeste...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,09:44
The USDCAD came under heavy selling pressure yesterday after U.S. CPI data came in much weaker than expected, triggering a decisive technical breakdown. The pair fell below the key support zone between 1.4125 and 1.4143, moved well beneath the 100-hour moving average, and broke an upward-sloping trendline that had guided the rally since May 1. One of the more encouraging developments for sellers was what happened after the initial break. The subsequent corrective bounce stalled right at the underside of the broken trendline, where fresh sellers stepped back in. That successful retest confirmed former support had turned into resistance and gave bears the confidence to extend the move lower... .. read more..
How to Buy Eli Lilly Stock (LLY)
Wednesday, July 15,2026,08:30
Pharmaceuticals and the stock market may seem like two completely different worlds to beginner investors, but Eli Lilly and Company proves otherwise. Its stock has delivered exceptional growth in recent years. The company generates tens of billions of dollars in revenue, and its market capitalization has surpassed $1 trillion. But after such a strong rally, an important question arises: how to buy Eli Lilly stock? Is it still worth adding to your portfolio at current prices? What is the difference between buying shares outright and trading CFDs? And when does Eli Lilly pay dividends? This article covers everything from the... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Kickstart the North American session: The USD is little changed versus the ma...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,08:14
The above video kickstarts the North American session with a technical look at the 3 major currency pairs - the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. All three are within 0.13% of unchanged in confined trading as the market awaits the next shove. Perhaps it is as the market traders await the England vs Argentina footie match later today. Congrats to Spain on their win yesterday vs France securing their place in the finals on Sunday. Back to the market, a number of major U.S. financial companies reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results overnight, continuing the positive tone from the start of earnings season. Results were broadly driven by resilient capital marke... .. read more..
Options Brief - Cool CPI, SK Hynix options debut - 15 July 2026
Wednesday, July 15,2026,08:00
A far softer June CPI knocked back rate-hike bets, crushed one-day VIX by nearly 28% and handed the tape to the AI and memory trade. Options on SK Hynix's newly US-listed ADR opened with about 218,500 contracts, most of it short-dated and priced near 172% implied volatility, while the ADR trades at a 50% premium to its Seoul shares. The brief covers the front-of-curve vol reset, a dispersion market where single names ignore the index, and what to watch in a brand-new options listing. MARKET REGIME: LOW-VOL BULL | VIX 16.50 | TERM STRUCTURE: CONTANGO | SKEW: 145.13 | FRONT-MONTH VIX FUTURES: 18.45 Event vol collapsed once CPI cleared. A far s... .. read more..
Eurozone Industrial Output Falls Unexpectedly
Wednesday, July 15,2026,07:51
Eurozone industrial output declined unexpectedly in May largely due to the fall in durable consumer goods production, official data revealed Wednesday. Industrial production slid 0.2 percent month-on-month, in contrast to the 0.3 percent rise in April. This was the first decline in four months and came in contrast to the 0.3 percent expected increase. .. read more..
Global Markets Cheer The Softening In U.S. CPI
Wednesday, July 15,2026,07:34
Global market sentiment got a boost amidst lower-than-expected levels of consumer price inflation in the U.S. as well as positive earnings updates from the corporate sector. .. read more..
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis for June 15, 2026: CPI Bounce Meets Key Resistance
Wednesday, July 15,2026,07:20
Soft U.S. inflation handed bitcoin its best session in months, but overhead resistance shows up as ECB week begins. .. read more..
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis for July 15, 2026: CPI Bounce Meets Key Resistance
Wednesday, July 15,2026,07:20
Soft U.S. inflation handed bitcoin its best session in months, but overhead resistance shows up as ECB week begins. .. read more..
4 Reasons Why Forex Traders Ditch Their Plans
Wednesday, July 15,2026,07:18
Trading conditions have been pretty fickle, so it’s important to adapt. But this doesn’t mean abandoning your trading plans altogether! .. read more..
Is gold beginning to look beyond inflation?
Wednesday, July 15,2026,07:00
Key Points: Gold remains trapped in a broad USD 3,950–4,200 range as investors weigh the inflationary impact of higher energy prices against the longer-term risks to economic growth. Softer-than-expected US inflation briefly lifted bullion above USD 4,100 before renewed strength in oil prices and fresh Middle East tensions shifted attention back to inflation and Federal Reserve policy. Investor liquidation appears to have largely run its course, with ETF holdings stabilising, while continued central bank purchases provide an important layer of underlying support. Silver and platinum continue to lack conviction as uncertainty over growth and interest rates clouds the outlook for the ... .. read more..
S&P 500 Shrugs Off Geopolitical Risks as Sector Rotation Takes Center Stage. ...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,06:51
The S&P 500 index has shown little reaction to geopolitical tensions and other uncertainties. The broad equity index continues to benefit from the strength of the US economy, while sector rotation has emerged as the key market narrative. Let's examine the main drivers and develop a trading plan. Major Takeaways US GDP is expected to grow by 2.1% in 2026. The correlation between the S&P 500 and other assets has declined. Rotation is dominating the US stock market. Long trades on the S&P 500 can be considered with targets of 7,700 and 8,200. Monthly Fundamental Forecast for S&P 500 Charity... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Rupee drops 16 paise to settle at 96.32 against US dollar
Wednesday, July 15,2026,06:39
Rupee pushed lower on West Asia tension, crude oil price surge .. read more..
ASML earnings: the AI boom reaches the factory floor
Wednesday, July 15,2026,06:00
Key takeaways ASML beat expectations and raised its outlook as artificial intelligence spending reaches chip factories. Capacity plans suggest customers are accelerating real production , not merely discussing future demand. Export controls, execution and a rich valuation leave less room for disappointment. The artificial intelligence boom is moving from the digital world to the factory floor. On 15 July, ASML showed that the journey is speeding up. The Dutch company reported second-quarter results above Bloomberg consensus across revenue, gross profit, net income and earnings per share, as the attached chart shows. More importantly, it lifted its full-year outlook and announced pla... .. read more..
EUR/USD – July 15th: Trump's Position on Control of the Strait of Hormuz
Wednesday, July 15,2026,05:08
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the euro once again and consolidated above the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1409. As a result, the upward move may continue toward the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1514. However, it should be noted that a large number of false signals have formed around the 1.1409 level, and EUR/USD has been trading largely sideways in recent weeks. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains bearish despite the bulls' attempts to regain control over the past two weeks. The latest completed downward wave broke below the previous low, while the latest upward wave has not yet exceeded the previous peak and is still developing. The geo... .. read more..
XAU/USD Price Analysis and Forecast: Escalating US–Iran Tensions Weigh on Gol...
Wednesday, July 15,2026,05:08
Gold (XAU/USD) attracted sellers during the first half of Wednesday's European session after failing to consolidate above the $4,100 level the previous day. Nevertheless, bulls continue to defend their positions. Despite weaker-than-expected U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, market participants remain focused on inflation risks associated with rising energy prices. Escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, along with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, continue to support oil prices. Additional pressure comes from comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, who, during his first testimony before Congress, reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to maintaining price stabil... .. read more..