Australian Dollar Rises Amid RBA Rate Hike Expectations
Friday, September 4,2026,04:11
The Australian dollar strengthened against other major currencies in the Asian session on Friday, as recent Australia's economic data raised the prospect of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia or the RBA as soon as this month. .. read more..
Oil (USCrude) Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week, and Next 30 Days
Friday, September 4,2026,04:08
Forecasting the USCrude price requires taking into account fundamental, geopolitical, and technical factors. The dynamics of crude oil not only shape the global economic environment but also depend heavily on exporting countries' decisions, macroeconomic indicators, and unexpected events. In this review, we will examine the outlook for oil prices over the upcoming trading sessions, assess prospects for the week ahead, and outline key benchmarks for the coming month. The forecast takes into account the current supply-demand balance, speculative positioning, and the latest geopolitical developments. Expert Technical Analysis for USCrude for Today The 4-hour chart shows the following signals... .. read more..
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week, and the Next 30...
Friday, September 4,2026,04:03
Gold (XAU/USD) is generally regarded as a safe-haven asset. The price of gold is influenced by geopolitical events, inflation rates, and shifts in interest rates. In the face of global economic uncertainty, the precious metal remains the primary defensive asset in investment portfolios. This article examines the factors driving the future of gold quotes and presents a forecast for the day, week, and month ahead. The price analysis encompasses macroeconomic data, political events, and technical analysis to facilitate the most accurate trading forecast for the XAUUSD. Expert Technical Analysis for XAU/USD for Today The 4-hour chart shows the following signals:... Read full author’s opinion ... .. read more..
Europe heads into winter with a thinner energy buffer
Friday, September 4,2026,04:00
Key Points: Gas buffers are thin: EU storage is at a 15-year seasonal low, while Qatari LNG disruption has tightened global supply. Risks could compound : Low storage, cold weather, weak wind/hydro and constrained LNG supply are the key winter threat. Power volatility is rising : Growing renewable reliance increases exposure to Dunkelflaute, hydro weakness and nuclear outages. Important buffers remain : US LNG, lower gas demand and strong nuclear availability could help, while El Niño may deliver a milder winter. Europe is approaching the coming winter with a considerably thinner energy cushion than in recent years. EU storage is currently around 66% full , the lowest level f... .. read more..
Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 04.09.2026
Friday, September 4,2026,03:40
Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. The euro is rising from the key support of the short-term trend. Major Takeaways USCrude: Oil is approaching the 88.91–88.71 zone. XAUUSD: Gold is testing the 4,464 level. EURUSD: The euro is rising after touching support B at 1.1585–1.1572. Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis Oil is trading within a short-term uptrend. Yesterday, the price continued to climb, exceeding the... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Bitcoin Broke $82,000, Updating the Cycle High Since the Beginning of the Cycle
Friday, September 4,2026,03:33
Today, Bitcoin broke $82,000, renewing the high since the start of its bull cycle amid dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, but in my view, the structure of the move raises noticeably more questions than answers. It is visible now that real demand from new buyers remains weak, and much of yesterday's rally was driven by short-covering in the futures market rather than organic accumulation. All this could seriously harm speculators counting on the continuation of the bull cycle. Note that nearly $550 million of positions were liquidated from the market in the last 24 hours, of which $470 million were bearish stakes. At the same time, futures open interest jumped 7.79%, indicating that ... .. read more..
Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 04.09.2026
Friday, September 4,2026,03:32
Dear readers, I've prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on Elliott Wave analysis. Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The price continues to rise in a bullish correction (B). Consider long positions with a Take Profit at 81,397.56. XRPUSD: The asset continues to rise in an impulse [C] of wave XX. Consider long positions with a Take Profit at 1.694. ETHUSD: The rise in the fifth part of a bullish impulse continues. Consider long positions with a Take Profit at 2,565.06. Elliott Wave Analysis for Bitcoin Bitcoin continues to develop a bearish corrective trend in the form of an... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
German Factory Orders Growth Beats Expectations
Friday, September 4,2026,03:13
Germany's factory orders grew more than expected in July, reflecting the strong order growth in the manufacture of ships, railway rolling stock and aircraft, official data revealed Friday. Factory orders increased 2.5 percent on a monthly basis in July but slower than the revised 3.7 percent expansion seen in June. Orders were expected to rise 0.3 percent. .. read more..
Failure at 23K vs. A Bet on 55K: Today's Non-Farm Employment Change Will Deci...
Friday, September 4,2026,03:13
The euro and the pound have risen against the dollar for a second day, and the main reason was found not in the eurozone but in Tokyo: the yen strengthened from 160 to 155 per dollar — nearly 500 pips — as part of a currency intervention apparently coordinated with the US. It was this dollar weakness across markets, not European data, that pushed both the euro and the pound higher. Notably, eurozone business-activity data by themselves did not provide support. The services index fell compared with July, and the composite PMI, according to final S&P Global data, remained at 52.0 — the same as in July. Neither the downward revision nor a stagnant composite index prevented the pair from ... .. read more..
USDJPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on September 4. Review of Ye...
Friday, September 4,2026,03:06
Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 156.18 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved well below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential — especially after the large decline observed the previous day. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The US services report was strong and inflationary, but the dollar will not gain support due to active currency intervention by the United States and the Bank of Japan, which has led to its weakening. For the yen, intervention remains a powerful driver of strength, as it is not a one-off episode but ongoing support for the national currency from the BOJ in coordination with the US. In my view, the... .. read more..
GBPUSD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on September 4. Review of Ye...
Friday, September 4,2026,03:06
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test at 1.3501 occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move up from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point to buy the pound. As a result, the pair rose and exceeded the target level of 1.3523, allowing about 30 pips of profit to be taken. A strong US services report would have set the tone on any other day, but this time the dollar ignored it. The ISM Services index rose to 55.4, business activity jumped to its highest since November 2022, and new orders showed their best reading in almost two and a half years. It is encouraging that the share of firms cutting staff fell from 19% to 17.1%, although emp... .. read more..
EURUSD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on September 4. Review of Ye...
Friday, September 4,2026,03:06
Trade review and tips for trading the European currency The price test at 1.1610 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning to move up from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair reached the target level of 1.1632. The US services report turned out to be outright strong, but the dollar did not react to it, and that, in my view, is the main point in today's picture. Business activity jumped to 61.7, and new orders to 60.9, the best reading since February 2023. Employment, however, remained in contraction at 47.8, which reflects a personnel shortage rather than weak demand. The price component proved far more important, surging to 72.6. ... .. read more..
How fuel became cheaper and more expensive at the same time
Friday, September 4,2026,02:48
The ISM services activity index for the US rose to 55.4 points in August from 54.1 in July, according to the Institute for Supply Management. Expansion has now continued for the twenty?sixth consecutive month. The business activity index jumped to 61.7 from 59.1, marking the highest level since November 2022, while new orders surged to 60.9 from 57.2 — the strongest reading since February 2023. By every demand metric, US services are enjoying their best period in more than three years. However, inside this impressive report are two indicators that completely change its interpretation. The employment index came in at 47.8 and remained in contraction for a second month, having been below 50... .. read more..
Intraday Strategies for Beginner Traders on September 4
Friday, September 4,2026,02:38
The dollar continued to lose its edge versus risk assets, and coordinated currency interventions played a role. Although the US services sector released a fairly decent report, it must be read in two ways at once. Business activity jumped to 61.7 from 59.1, a high since November 2022; new orders rose to 60.9; and the overall ISM Services index climbed to 55.4 from 54.1. ISM is survey?based and reflects the largest sector of the economy, where readings above 50 indicate expansion; under normal conditions, such strong figures would have supported the dollar. What is worrying is the price component: the price index surged to 72.6, the highest since August 2022, and its 12?month average of 68... .. read more..
US Dollar Faces Crucial Test as NFP Data Approach. Forecast as of 04.09.2026
Friday, September 4,2026,02:23
A sharp drop in the probability of the Fed tightening monetary policy in September—from 70% to 50%—has sent the EUR/USD soaring. What impact will the US August jobs report have on the pair? Let's discuss the potential scenarios and build a trading plan. Major Takeaways The market remains uncertain about a Fed rate hike. Falling Treasury yields have weighed on the US dollar. The upcoming employment data could determine the greenback's next move. Short positions opened near 1.1635 can be increased amid weak NFP data. Daily Fundamental Forecast for Dollar The EUR/USD roller coaster is picking up speed. While Kevin... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
FX option expiries for 4 September 10am New York cut
Friday, September 4,2026,02:02
EUR/USD 1.1700 (EUR 1.78 bn) 1.1600 (EUR 3.13 bn) 1.1500 (EUR 1.75 bn) USD/JPY 157.00 (US$ 2.19 bn) 155.00 (US$ 2.94 mn) GBP/USD 1.3615 (GBP 439.22 mn) 1.3500 (GBP 315.47 mn) 1.3400 (GBP 304.19 mn) USD/CAD 1.4000 (USD 781.48 mn) 1.3800 (USD 1.28 bn) USD/CHF 0.8150 (USD 548.73 mn) 1.8050 (USD 313.98 mn) AUD/USD 0.7250 (AUD 737.92 mn) 0.7200 (AUD 1.33 bn) 0.7100 (AUD 1.19 bn) NZD/USD 0.5900 (NZD 221.69 mn) WHAT ARE OPTION EXPIRIES? The FX option expiration price levels refer to the strike prices where option contracts are set to expire. These levels include both calls and puts. When you see "EUR/USD at 1.1600 for €4 billion" it means there is a total of €4 billion worth of options (calls + ... .. read more..
Market Quick Take - Markets rally as Waller turns dovish, jobs report takes c...
Friday, September 4,2026,01:45
Market drivers and catalysts Macro : A senior Fed voice softened on September as the jobs report comes into view Equities : US and European stocks rallied as rate fears eased, while Asian markets extended gains with technology leading. Digital Assets : Crypto equities surged as bitcoin reclaimed a key level on easing rate fears Commodities : BCOM heads for record weekly close as energy surges; Waller and softer dollar revive gold momentum Fixed Income : Global bonds rally, led by Japan’s government bonds Currencies : Recent JPY surge partially fades, USD weaker. Macro The US Fed's Waller pivots dovish: Fed Governor Christopher Waller said his September rate decision will be “h... .. read more..
Trading Signals for BITCOIN on September 4-7, 2026: sell below $81,250 (21 SM...
Friday, September 4,2026,01:39
Bitcoin is trading around $81,009, below the 6/8 Murray level, and pulling back after reaching a new high of around $82,304. Bitcoin was unable to break above $82,300, as this zone coincided with the upper band of the uptrend channel formed since August 21, and Bitcoin is likely to struggle to continue rising above this zone. If Bitcoin falls below $81,250 in the coming hours, it could be seen as an opportunity to sell, with targets at $78,125, and it is expected to reach the lower band of the uptrend channel around $77,000. The outlook remains bullish for Bitcoin, so a pullback toward the 5/8 Murray level or the 21 SMA at $78,125 could signal a strong technical rebound, and we could open... .. read more..
Trading Signals for ETH/USD on September 4-7, 2026: sell below $2,500 (21 SMA...
Friday, September 4,2026,01:37
ETH is trading around $2,507, above the 8/8 Murray line and above the 21 SMA, consolidating after a strong upward move that occurred yesterday during the US trading session. Since August 22, ETH has been trading within a rectangle pattern between a high of $2,567 and a low of $2,450. In the coming hours, Ethereum is expected to encounter strong resistance around $2,567; this zone could be viewed as an opportunity to take short positions in anticipation of a drop to the psychological level of $2,500—it could even retreat toward $2,343. If the consolidation continues and the price remains below the psychological level of $2,500, then we could view this zone as an opportunity to sell, with t... .. read more..
Rupee rises 5 paise to 94.46 against US dollar in early trade
Friday, September 4,2026,00:34
Forex traders said the rupee is poised to gain strength, supported by strong underlying inflows and aggressive RBI intervention. However, higher crude oil prices and potential US-Iran tensions could limit further gains. .. read more..
Trading Recommendations for Bitcoin on September 4 Using the ICT System
Friday, September 4,2026,00:04
Bitcoin rose by $18,000 in just a few days, but the crazy rally quickly stopped, and Bitcoin ultimately went flat. Of course, this may be a simple pause — a calm before a new surge. During strong trends, Bitcoin often halts and then, even without a correction, posts a new powerful move. Thus Bitcoin's current inability to continue north does not mean the local upward impulse is finished. Recall that neither Ether nor Bitcoin have yet broken their downtrends that began last year, so the current upward impulse should be viewed as local. There is also a high probability of a flat forming on the daily and weekly TFs. On the weekly TF, the current upward move appears to be a simple correction,... .. read more..
Trading Recommendations and Trade Review for GBP/USD on September 4. The Poun...
Thursday, September 3,2026,23:37
Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD pair turned upward on Thursday and closed above the critical line and the trendline. Thus, there are grounds to assume the end of the two-week downtrend. However, note that today the US will publish key labor reports and the unemployment rate, so if they print strong readings, the dollar may resume rising. Overall, we can say the market is once again losing faith in a September Federal Reserve rate hike. These swings of expectations have become tiresome. The market reacts to Kevin Warsh's speeches, official statistics, and other Fed officials' statements, yet cannot decide what to expect from the US central bank. Thus we continue to see constant shifts i... .. read more..
Trading Recommendations and Trade Review for EUR/USD on September 4. The Mark...
Thursday, September 3,2026,23:37
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair failed to continue the downward move on Thursday, even though the day provided grounds for a new decline. The day's most important report — the US ISM services business activity index — showed a higher-than-expected reading, yet the dollar fell that day. This convinced us that the macroeconomic backdrop still has no real influence on FX market moves. Recall that this week, all reports in the EU and the US (except the latest ISM report) were unfavorable for the dollar. Nevertheless, the US currency rose during the first three days of the week. On Thursday, it fell instead, even though ISM should have supported it. Thus, we tend to believe th... .. read more..
Overview of GBP/USD. September 4. Why Geopolitics No Longer Matters?
Thursday, September 3,2026,23:37
The GBP/USD currency pair remained in decline on Thursday, which, in our view, is a banal technical correction. We believe there were no reasons (especially this week) for the US currency to rise. Moreover, there were none even last Friday. Let us examine in detail what is happening in the FX market and why the dollar is strengthening. We should start with last Friday. On that day, Kevin Warsh spoke, the annual Nonfarm Payrolls report was published, and the dollar managed to materially strengthen across the market. Obviously, the market reacted to those events, which caused the dollar's rise. However, the Federal Reserve chair did not say anything new or "hawkish" that would increase the ... .. read more..
Overview of the EUR/USD Pair. September 4. The Market Prefers a Sweet Lie
Thursday, September 3,2026,23:37
The EUR/USD currency pair managed to recover slightly on Thursday after a two-week decline, which itself was a correction against a month-long rise. Thus the underlying uptrend that began in late July effectively remains intact. In our view, the euro should continue to rise in the medium term, regardless of the Federal Reserve's plans and actions, and even despite geopolitical developments. However, if things were that simple in the FX market, every trader would be a millionaire. For this review, we decided not to focus on Nonfarm Payrolls or the unemployment rate, which would be logical, but on the prospects for Fed monetary policy. At present, most market participants are confident the ... .. read more..
What to Watch on September 4? Review of Fundamental Events for Beginners
Thursday, September 3,2026,23:37
Analysis of macroeconomic releases: Several macroeconomic publications are scheduled for Friday. For example, the EU will publish a retail sales report, but who in the market is interested in retail sales right now? All traders' attention is focused on US inflation and labor market data because no one yet understands what further actions the US central bank will take. Today, Nonfarm Payrolls and the unemployment rate will be released, potentially changing traders' expectations about the Federal Reserve's key rate in September. Analysis of fundamental events: Among Friday's fundamental events are speeches by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and European Central Bank Chief Economist P... .. read more..
NZD/JPY Analysis for September 4, 2026: Key Support in Focus as the Rate Gap ...
Thursday, September 3,2026,23:23
New Zealand raised interest rates earlier this week, but the Kiwi fell anyway as the BOJ moved closer to tightening. .. read more..
Rupee's inflow-linked, RBI-backed optimism faces oil test
Thursday, September 3,2026,23:11
Seen opening at 94.55-94.60; weekly gain of 1 percentage point faces Brent above $96 .. read more..
How to Trade the GBP/USD Currency Pair on September 4? Simple Tips and Trade ...
Thursday, September 3,2026,22:47
Thursday Trade Review: 1H chart of the GBP/USD pair The GBP/USD pair also rose during Thursday even though the macro backdrop suggested a decline. Recall that this week only the US ISM services business activity index supported the dollar; all other reports did not. However, yesterday, when the ISM index was released, the US currency fell. We noted earlier that a technical correction has been unfolding in the market over the past two weeks. Such corrections occur independently of fundamental or macroeconomic background. The market begins to take profits on long positions, which is why we observe declines. This is why the macro backdrop and the pair's movements did not match this week. Reg... .. read more..
How to Trade the EUR/USD Currency Pair on September 4? Simple Tips and Trade ...
Thursday, September 3,2026,22:47
Thursday Trade Review: 1H chart of the EUR/USD pair The EUR/USD currency pair rebounded from 1.1584 on Thursday after a two-week correction and is now attempting to resume its upward trend. If you analyze all the macroeconomic releases this week and try to match them with the pair's moves, you will see no correlation. On Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, the macro backdrop should have prompted a rise in the US dollar, and on Thursday, a fall. However, in reality, we saw the exact opposite movements. For example, yesterday the US released a fairly good and important ISM services business activity index. It was the first overseas report this week to beat forecasts. Yet the US currency spent t... .. read more..
How the CME FedWatch Tool Works: The Impact of Central Bank Commentary
Thursday, September 3,2026,22:40
The tool behind every “traders now see a 50% chance of a hike” headline isn’t based on a poll. It actually refers to a price. Here’s how two Fed officials moved it in opposite directions within a week. .. read more..
Chart Art: NZD/CAD Breakdown Momentum After RBNZ and BOC Decisions
Thursday, September 3,2026,22:21
NZD/CAD recently fell through an ascending trend line, hinting at a likely reversal from the uptrend. Can it find more sellers on a retracement? .. read more..
Yen headed for strongest week in a month, dollar flat ahead of payroll data
Thursday, September 3,2026,22:09
This week, the Japanese yen appreciated considerably against the US dollar, as traders are anticipating a potential interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan. Meanwhile, the broader currency markets are gearing up for important US payroll data releases. Federal Reserve officials suggested that if inflation eases, there may be a halt in rate increases. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Gulf are impacting both oil prices and market sentiment. .. read more..
Rupee gains 0.5%, closes at 10-week high on strong inflows
Thursday, September 3,2026,21:47
The Indian rupee strengthened significantly on Thursday, reaching a ten-week closing high. This gain was driven by substantial inflows of $136 billion into Indian markets. The currency closed at 94.4850 against the US dollar, marking its sharpest daily rise. Experts suggest the rupee could further strengthen, potentially reaching 93.80. These overseas inflows are expected to boost foreign reserves past $750 billion soon. .. read more..
Rupee closes at 10-week high on strong inflows
Thursday, September 3,2026,21:47
The Indian rupee strengthened significantly on Thursday, reaching a ten-week closing high. This gain was driven by substantial inflows of $136 billion into Indian markets. The currency closed at 94.4850 against the US dollar, marking its sharpest daily rise. Experts suggest the rupee could further strengthen, potentially reaching 93.80. These overseas inflows are expected to boost foreign reserves past $750 billion soon. .. read more..
Centre sees no cost pain for RBI on dollar deluge
Thursday, September 3,2026,20:00
The Reserve Bank of India anticipates minimal costs from significant forex inflows. High interest rates on US treasuries are expected to offset hedging expenses. These record inflows will also reduce currency intervention costs for the central bank. Economists suggest hedging costs could reach thirty-six thousand crore rupees. The RBI's balance sheet growth may impact future surplus transfers to the government. .. read more..
Elections to Congress Are Already Lost
Thursday, September 3,2026,18:31
Americans like to live well. They are used to living well. Certainly not all Americans throw money around and can buy whatever they wish. Still, no one will deny that, in terms of standard of living, the American nation surpasses many on this planet. American life is, first and foremost, about money. And about credit. Prices in the US are high, so any increase in the cost of goods hits the middle and lower classes. That was the preamble; now the article begins. The US Energy Information Administration reported that diesel inventories have fallen to the lowest level on record. Diesel prices have risen to their highest level since 2022 and may soon set an all-time record. The average gasoli... .. read more..
EUR/USD. ISM Services: The Devil Is in the Details
Thursday, September 3,2026,18:31
The ISM services index published on Thursday "broke out of the general pattern," landing in the green zone. All other key macro indicators fell short of forecasts. The manufacturing ISM, JOLTS, and ADP reports moved into the red zone, increasing pressure on the greenback. August ISM Services was indeed fairly strong. And if not for significant accompanying flaws (which we will discuss below), the release would have favored the greenback. However, as we have repeatedly seen, the devil is in the details. ISM Services, unfortunately, was no exception. The headline — the services business activity index — rose in August to 55.4 points from 54.1 in July. Most analysts had forecast a more modes... .. read more..
TA Alert of the Day: GBP/USD Golden Cross Signals a Potential Bullish Trend S...
Thursday, September 3,2026,18:01
A bullish 50 SMA crossover above the 200 SMA puts GBP/USD in focus. Can buyers build on the signal and extend the rally? .. read more..
EUR/USD – Smart Money Analysis: The Market Expects Weak Nonfarm Payrolls
Thursday, September 3,2026,13:23
The EUR/USD pair declined for six days, but the bears' advance may now be over. Overall, it can be said with confidence that the bears truly attacked only last Friday, when FOMC President Kevin Warsh spoke first, followed by a revision of the annual Nonfarm Payrolls data. Neither of these events was unequivocally bearish, although the dollar's appreciation can be explained if one looks hard enough for a reason. As I wrote earlier, the Nonfarm Payrolls report could have been much worse than it ultimately turned out to be, while Warsh's speech contained some hawkish undertones. However, if we call things by their proper names and do not try to see white in black, I see no reason for the dol... .. read more..
EUR/USD Analysis – September 3: Economic Data Has Limited Impact on the Market
Thursday, September 3,2026,13:22
The wave count on the four-hour chart for EUR/USD is becoming more complex. There is still no question of invalidating the upward trend segment (lower chart) that began in January of last year. On the contrary, we have seen a complete A-B-C corrective structure, which has most likely been completed. We never saw a convincing wave 5 within wave C. This wave took a truncated form, which also occurs from time to time. Let me remind you that classical wave structures are generally found only in textbooks. In real-life trading, traders and analysts should be more flexible in their analysis. Unfortunately, the wave count may become more complex again at present. Wave C may take a three-wave for... .. read more..
GBP/USD – Smart Money Analysis: The Pound's Outlook Depends on the Euro
Thursday, September 3,2026,13:22
The GBP/USD pair has lost its bullish momentum, but the bullish advance is not yet over. In my view, saving the pound is in the hands of the euro. The euro is still maintaining a bullish bias at present and has not invalidated the last two bullish imbalances. These imbalances could save both European currencies. As I said earlier, I see no reason for the bears to advance. For example, it is extremely difficult to explain the decline in the euro and the pound this week. All of the U.S. economic reports released this week have, to varying degrees, created obstacles for the dollar. The geopolitical escalation in the Middle East was classified as "another escalation" by the end of the week. W... .. read more..
EUR/USD. The Fed Sees No Reason to Raise Rates
Thursday, September 3,2026,13:22
On Friday, September 4, the economic calendar contains at least two major releases. These are, of course, the Nonfarm Payrolls report and the unemployment rate. Needless to say, these reports will determine not only the dollar's performance on Friday but also the outlook for Fed monetary policy, which is currently the subject of much discussion. In my view, the situation is straightforward. The key release is Nonfarm Payrolls, while the unemployment rate will provide an adjustment. Thus, whether the Fed will decide to raise its interest rate at least through the end of the year will depend on whether August payrolls come in above 58,000. In recent weeks, the dollar has managed to strength... .. read more..
USDCHF Technicals: The USDCHF is sharply lower on USD selling. What has the t...
Thursday, September 3,2026,13:06
The USDCHF is down around 0.87% on the day as sellers follow the broader US dollar lower after Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s more dovish comments. The video above provides education and technical knowledge about the price action seen in the pair both yesterday and today as the price tumbled. Technically, the move has taken the price below its 100 hour moving average near 0.8100 and its 200 hour moving average near 0.8070. Those breaks put the sellers in control. However, the story started yesterday when the buyers had their shot—and could not sustain the break. The price extended above a swing area between 0.81383 and 0.81513, reaching a high near 0.8158. That area has acted as both s... .. read more..
USDCHF Technicals: The USDCHF is sharply lower on USD selling. What has the t...
Thursday, September 3,2026,13:06
The USDCHF is down around 0.87% on the day as sellers follow the broader US dollar lower after Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s more dovish comments. The video above provides education and technical knowledge about the price action seen in the pair both yesterday and today as the price tumbled. Technically, the move has taken the price below its 100 hour moving average near 0.8100 and its 200 hour moving average near 0.8070. Those breaks put the sellers in control. However, the story started yesterday when the buyers had their shot—and could not sustain the break. The price extended above a swing area between 0.81383 and 0.81513, reaching a high near 0.8158. That area has acted as both s... .. read more..
Trading Signals for OIL on September 3-5, 2026: sell below $90.76 (21 SMA - 6...
Thursday, September 3,2026,12:59
Crude oil is trading around $90.15 with a strong uptrend and is reaching resistance levels. We could expect a technical correction in the coming days, after which the instrument could return to the psychological level of $80. During the US trading session on September 2, crude oil managed to close the gap it had left on July 23 around $89.75. This gap has now been closed, and the market is likely showing signs of exhaustion; we could expect a technical trend reversal in the coming hours. If crude oil continues to rise, we could expect it to encounter resistance around the 7/8 Murray level at $93.75; below this zone, a pullback could occur, which would be considered a selling opportunity. ... .. read more..
Trading Signals for EUR/USD on September 3-5, 2026: buy above 1.1600 or sell ...
Thursday, September 3,2026,12:57
The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1623, after rebounding from the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) around 1.1565; this level provided the euro with strong upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the euro could reach the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.1657. This point could be considered an opportunity to open short positions. If the price falls below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which is near current levels, and a technical correction occurs below 1.1623 in the coming hours, we could sell, expecting the instrument to find strong support around the Murray 6/8 level and the 21-period simple moving average (SMA), near 1.1596. The outlook for the eur... .. read more..
Trading Signals for BTC on September 3-5, 2026: buy above $79,000 or sell bel...
Thursday, September 3,2026,12:55
Bitcoin is trading around $79,096 on an uptrend after breaking above the 5/8 Murray level. BTC has been trading below this zone during recent sessions under downward pressure. Given that BTC is now trading above the 21 SMA and above the 5/8 Murray level, the outlook suggests it could continue rising until it reaches the psychological level of $80,000. If the upward momentum persists and it even reaches the 6/8 Murray level around $81,250, this level could, in turn, form a double top pattern if the instrument encounters strong resistance. Looking at the H4 chart, Bitcoin reached $81,250 on August 26. If Bitcoin reaches this zone again in the coming hours and consolidates below it, we could... .. read more..
Trading Signals for GOLD on September 3-5, 2026: buy above $4,453 or sell bel...
Thursday, September 3,2026,12:53
Gold is trading around $4,473 with a bullish bias, and we could expect it to continue rising over the next few hours until it reaches the 61.8% Fibonacci level around $4,535, or it could encounter strong resistance around the 6/8 Murray level at $4,531. Since the opening of Thursday's Asian session, gold has been rising, and this could be seen as an opportunity to continue buying in the coming hours, as the instrument could reach the psychological level of $4,500. Even if it breaks above this zone, it could face strong resistance, so we must remain vigilant because a technical correction could occur. Gold could come under downward pressure over the next few days if the price approaches th... .. read more..
Buoyed by FCNR(B) deposit inflows, rupee perks up to a two-and-a-half month high
Thursday, September 3,2026,12:03
INR opened 67 paise stronger at 94.30 per USD, and closed at 94.48 per USD, up 49 paise over the previous close of 94.97 .. read more..