RBI Turns to Longer-Dated VRRR for Liquidity Mop-Up
Saturday, September 5,2026,00:15
In an effort to control escalating inflation, the Reserve Bank of India is running auctions to draw in surplus liquidity from the financial system. This move comes as call money rates fall beneath the policy repo rate, with predictions indicating liquidity levels could exceed fifteen lakh crore by the close of September. Additionally, the central bank recently sold government securities worth thirty-two thousand crore. .. read more..
Dollar bounces on job gains, then pares ahead of CPI
Saturday, September 5,2026,00:04
The U.S. job market showed surprising resilience in August, adding 162,000 positions—far beyond what analysts anticipated. This result has led to heightened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate increase in September. However, the dollar softened slightly as traders now focus on looming inflation reports. Wages saw a year-over-year uptick of 3.1%, the weakest growth since June 2021, while the yen appreciated against the dollar throughout the week. .. read more..
Financial & Forex Weekly Recap: August 31 – September 4, 2026
Friday, September 4,2026,17:53
Oil surged on Iran strikes and Hormuz tanker scares while central banks jockeyed, then a blockbuster US jobs report handed the dollar the wheel late Friday. .. read more..
Dollar has some time to maneuver
Friday, September 4,2026,15:25
Gazing into a coffee cup is a hopeless pastime, yet that's exactly what Forex is doing ahead of the Fed meeting. A September rate hike is like a coin toss — nobody dares predict the outcome. Formally, the dollar has some trump cards: inflation remains above target. But MUFG argues that even a rate increase is unlikely to be decisive. The ECB, Bank of England, and RBA are more hawkish than expected, and rate differentials are unlikely to swing sharply in the greenback's favor. What matters is not the fact of a hike but the signal — whether it marks the start of a cycle or is a one?off adjustment. MUFG's base case is the latter, which creates short?term upside risks for the dollar versus th... .. read more..
EUR/USD Analysis – September 4: Is Market Confidence in the Fed Weakening Again?
Friday, September 4,2026,12:40
The wave pattern on the four-hour chart for EUR/USD is becoming more complex. There is still no question of canceling the upward section of the trend (lower chart), which began in January of last year. On the contrary, we saw a complete A-B-C corrective structure, which has most likely been completed. We never saw a convincing wave 5 in C. This wave took a truncated form, which also happens from time to time. Let me remind you that classical wave structures are generally found only in textbooks. In real-life market conditions, traders and analysts should be more flexible in their analysis. Unfortunately, the wave structure may become more complex again at present. Wave C may take a three-... .. read more..
Nvidia Technicals: Buyers are making a play and testing the all-time highs.
Friday, September 4,2026,12:36
The price of Nvidia is stretching toward its all-time high despite a down day for the broader US stock indices. Shares are currently up $2.70, or 1.12%, at $231.00. The intraday high reached $234.76, putting the stock less than $2 from its record high of $236.54. Technically, the combination of the nearby all-time high and broader market weakness has helped put a temporary lid on the rally. However, the intraday correction has also found support near a swing area around $228.40 in spite of the broader stock market weakness. That level at $228.40 is important for the short-term bias. As long as the price remains above the level, buyers remain in firm control and can continue to... .. read more..
Canadian Employment Falls, Tariffs Bite
Friday, September 4,2026,12:07
Canada lost 42,000 jobs in August 2026, badly missing forecasts for a 15,000 gain, as wage growth slowed and US tariffs pressured export industries. .. read more..
EUR/USD – Smart Money Analysis: An Unexpected Development
Friday, September 4,2026,12:06
The EUR/USD pair had been declining for six days, but the bears' advance has now come to an end. For five full days, the US dollar has been unable to convince traders that further purchases of the currency are justified. Imbalance 21 has not been invalidated, while imbalance 20 triggered a price reaction. The Nonfarm Payrolls report released today somewhat spoiled the picture for the bulls. Following a series of weak reports on the labor market and business activity, it showed a genuinely strong result. In August, 162,000 new jobs were created, while traders had not expected more than 56,000. It does not matter that this figure may be revised in a month. What matters is that today the pre... .. read more..
U.S. Payrolls Crush August 2026 Forecast
Friday, September 4,2026,11:49
U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in August 2026, far above forecasts, with unemployment steady at 4.1%. A strong report now raises Fed rate-hike odds. .. read more..
GBP/USD – Smart Money Analysis: An Unexpected Market Reaction
Friday, September 4,2026,11:40
The GBP/USD pair has lost its bullish momentum, but the bullish advance is still not over. In my view, the pound's salvation lies in the hands of the euro. At present, the euro currency is still maintaining a bullish bias and has not invalidated its two latest bullish imbalances. These imbalances could save both the euro and the pound. As I said earlier, I see no reasons for the bears to launch an advance. This week, traders could observe paradoxical movements. During the first three days of the week, the dollar had no reasons to rise, but it did. On Thursday, the dollar had grounds to rise, but it fell. Today, the US currency could have risen by at least 100 points, but instead it declin... .. read more..
S&P and Nasdaq Composite Technical Analysis: The broader indices are mixed bu...
Friday, September 4,2026,10:28
The broader US stock indices are trading mixed as investors digest the stronger-than-expected US jobs report. The S&P 500 is marginally lower, while the Nasdaq Composite is posting a modest gain. A strong employment report can be both good and bad for stocks. On the positive side, continued job growth supports consumer spending, economic activity and corporate earnings. On the negative side, a strong economy and a tight labor market can keep wage and inflation pressures elevated. That could lead the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates—or even tighten policy further. Higher rates increase borrowing costs and can reduce the present value investors are willing to pay for fu... .. read more..
Ripple Price Forecast & Predictions for 2026, 2027, 2028–2030 and Beyond
Friday, September 4,2026,10:07
XRP (Ripple) is one of the most well-known cryptocurrencies in the market. Powered by RippleNet and the Ripple Protocol Consensus Algorithm (RPCA), it enables fast, low-cost transactions without the need for mining. In contrast to Bitcoin, Ripple relies on trusted nodes, which results in a faster and more cost-effective system. XRP acts as a medium of exchange for various currencies, ensuring liquidity across the network. This article explores XRP's price forecasts for the coming years and examines the factors influencing its value. Major Takeaways The current price of XRP stands at $1.40530 as of 04.09.2026. The highest XRP price of... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #Li... .. read more..
U.S. Job Growth Far Exceeds Estimates In August
Friday, September 4,2026,09:40
Employment in the U.S. increased by far more than economists had expected in the month of August, according to a closely watched report released by the Labor Department on Friday. The report said non-farm payroll employment surged by 162,000 jobs in August are rising by an upwardly revised 21,000 jobs in July. Economists had expected employment to climb by 55,000 jobs. .. read more..
Yen’s Appreciation Potential May Be Running Out
Friday, September 4,2026,09:29
The yen’s medium-term outlook remains constructive, but much of the expected Bank of Japan tightening may already be priced in. With weak consumption limiting the scope for aggressive rate hikes, USD/JPY may consolidate near 155 unless the BoJ or Japan’s GPIF provides a fresh catalyst. .. read more..
U.S. Jobs Data Rattles Market Sentiment
Friday, September 4,2026,09:28
A higher-than-expected payrolls data from the U.S. for the month of August has jolted global markets on Friday morning. Markets ramped up Fed rate hike expectations which had cooled earlier following dovish comments from a Fed official. .. read more..
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Friday, September 4,2026,09:00
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 4,282.50 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 4,282.50. Stop Loss: below 4,215.00, Take Profit: 4,900.00–5,610.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 4,282.50 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 4,003.25–3,720.00. A sell signal: the level of 4,282.50 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 4,350.00, Take Profit: 4,003.25–3,720.00. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 4,282.50 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 4,282.50 will allow the asset to continue d... .. read more..
August nonfarm payrolls shake market
Friday, September 4,2026,08:50
The dollar rose, and all risk assets plunged after US nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. The result blew past the consensus forecast of 55,000 — nearly three times higher — and was five times the average monthly gain of the prior 12 months, which stood at 31,000. Revisions proved even more important. June's figure was revised up by 11,000 (from 20k to 31k) and July's was revised up by 44,000 (from -23k to +21k). Together, employment over the two months was 55,000 higher than previously reported. In other words, the July jobs decline that prompted so much discussion simply didn't exist. T... .. read more..
Federal Reserve gives green light: Bitcoin storms $80,000; gold also develops...
Friday, September 4,2026,08:50
A triumphant breach of Bitcoin's $80,000 psychological level amid dovish Fed rhetoric, and a historic synchronicity between crypto and gold as go-to havens against fiat depreciation Investors focused on four key developments likely to set trends for months ahead: Bitcoin's triumphant push through the $80,000 psychological level amid dovish signals from the Fed; a historic synchronicity between Bitcoin and gold as primary hedges against fiat?currency debasement; and major corporate showdowns in the tech sector. While Meta moves to seize AI leadership with a powerful new model, Muse Spark, Microsoft made a revolutionary step by disclosing detailed financials for its cloud division, Azure, f... .. read more..
WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Friday, September 4,2026,08:30
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 79.00 with a target of 105.17–115.50. A buy signal: the price holds above 79.00. Stop Loss: below 77.50, Take Profit: 105.17–115.50. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 79.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 67.00–58.50. A sell signal: the level of 79.00 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 80.50, Take Profit: 67.00–58.50. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 79.00 with a target of 105.17–115.50. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 79.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels... Read full author’s opi... .. read more..
Forex forecast 04/09/2026: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, SP500, OIL, BTC
Friday, September 4,2026,08:28
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week. Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to inc... .. read more..
USD Technical Analysis:What levels are in play for the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUS...
Friday, September 4,2026,08:13
The USD is mixed as North American traders enter for the day, with the major currency pairs trading in relatively narrow ranges ahead of the US jobs report at 8:30 AM ET. The EURUSD has traded in a 16-pip range between 1.1617 and 1.1633 and is little changed. The USDJPY has shown more movement, trading in a 68-pip range between 155.53 and 156.21, with the dollar gaining 0.27% against the yen. The GBPUSD is up 0.09% within a 26-pip range between 1.3523 and 1.3549. From a technical perspective, the narrow ranges leave the major pairs waiting for the next push. The employment report has the potential to trigger breaks of the session extremes, which would give traders the next directional clu... .. read more..
USD/JPY: Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – September 4 (U.S. Session)
Friday, September 4,2026,08:11
Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the Japanese Yen The test of the 156.50 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and decided to wait before the important U.S. data. Currency interventions by the Bank of Japan are currently on hold, which is not surprising, as the market is awaiting the August U.S. employment report, which has become the main event of the week. The forecast calls for an increase in employment of around 50,000–60,000, with unemployment at approximately 4.1%, but the backdrop ahead of the release is clearly negative, as the entire ... .. read more..
GBP/USD: Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – September 4 (U.S. Session)
Friday, September 4,2026,08:11
Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the British Pound The test of the 1.3530 price level occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, confirming that it was the right entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by only 10 points. Today, Andrew Bailey delivered a speech on central bank independence, but the pound paid no attention to it, which is telling. The Governor of the Bank of England began with a quote from Alexander Hamilton dating back to 1780, referred to Douglas North's definition of institutions as the rules of the game in society, and explained why independence emerged in the first place. He also addressed the c... .. read more..
EUR/USD: Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – September 4 (U.S. Session)
Friday, September 4,2026,08:11
Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the Euro The test of the 1.1622 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro and instead waited for Scenario #2 for a buy trade to materialize. Ultimately, the second test of 1.1622 triggered this scenario, but the euro did not make a significant rise, for objective reasons. The weak retail sales report confirmed that consumers remain a vulnerable area of the eurozone economy. Sales fell by 0.6% in July, while annual growth virtually disappeared, amounting to just 0.6%. The underlying structure only reinforced this p... .. read more..
USD/JPY: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Friday, September 4,2026,08:00
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 160.38 with a target of 151.76–148.92. A sell signal: the price holds below 160.38. Stop Loss: above 161.00, Take Profit: 151.76–148.92. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 160.38 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 163.90–166.50. A buy signal: the level of 160.38 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 159.80, Take Profit: 163.90–166.50. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 160.38 with a target of 151.76–148.92. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation above 160.38 will... Read full author’s opinion ... .. read more..
Strategies for Beginner Traders – September 4
Friday, September 4,2026,07:54
The pound once again responded very well to the Mean Reversion strategy today. I traded the Japanese yen using Momentum. According to the data, eurozone retail sales fell by 0.6% in July after increasing by 0.2% in June, while the decline across the EU was 0.4%, with annual growth almost disappearing, falling to a symbolic 0.6%. Let me remind you that retail sales reflect consumer demand, and such a sharp decline indicates a noticeable cooling in demand. The structure of the decline is particularly telling, as food sales increased by 0.4%, while non-food products fell by 1.4%, meaning that Europeans continue to buy food while cutting back on everything else. In my view, this is typical co... .. read more..
3 Tips When Resuming Trading After a Long Break
Friday, September 4,2026,07:40
It can be challenging to get back in sync with the markets after a big hiatus, so I’ve rounded up some tips that might help you get up to speed. .. read more..
GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Friday, September 4,2026,07:30
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3470 with a target of 1.3870–1.4140. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3470. Stop Loss: below 1.3425, Take Profit: 1.3870–1.4140. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 1.3470 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3275–1.3140. A sell signal: the level of 1.3470 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.3515, Take Profit: 1.3275–1.3140. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3470 with a target of 1.3870–1.4140. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 1.3470 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels... Read full au... .. read more..
Energy scarcity powers commodities index towards a record high
Friday, September 4,2026,07:30
Key Points: Energy drives the commodity rally: Crude and refined products lead weekly gains as the US-Iran conflict and tight physical supply keep risk premiums elevated. Refined fuels highlight the severity of the squeeze : European gasoil has surged 123% this year, with the total return reaching 185% as tight supply adds a substantial positive roll contribution. Precious metals rebound as rate fears ease : Waller's comments triggered lower yields and a weaker dollar, while strong gold ETF and central-bank demand continue to provide underlying support. Agriculture cools after a powerful rally : Crowded positioning magnified profit-taking, although Black Sea disruption and wea... .. read more..
Rupee rises 2 paise to close at 94.49 against US dollar
Friday, September 4,2026,07:09
The rupee gained for the sixth consecutive session, closing at 94.48 (provisional) on Friday, up 2 paise from the previous close .. read more..
EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Friday, September 4,2026,07:00
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.1560 with a target of 1.1790–1.2088. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1560. Stop Loss: below 1.1515, Take Profit: 1.1790–1.2088. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 1.1560 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.1346–1.1200. A sell signal: the level of 1.1560 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.1605, Take Profit: 1.1346–1.1200. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 1.1560 with a target of 1.1790–1.2088. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 1.1560 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels... Read full au... .. read more..
Gold Has the Market on Its Side. Forecast as of 04.09.2026
Friday, September 4,2026,06:34
Speculators are increasing their long positions, retail investors are boosting their ETF holdings, and central banks are adding to their gold reserves. Against this backdrop, buying the dip is becoming the best strategy for XAU/USD. The NFP report may provide an opportunity to put this strategy into action. Let's discuss this topic and outline a trading plan. Major Takeaways The precious metal is sensitive to market confidence in the Fed. Central banks continue to buy gold. Asset managers are increasing their long positions in gold. Weak NFP data would provide an opportunity to add to XAU/USD purchases. Fundamental Forecast for... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
USD/CHF: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Friday, September 4,2026,06:30
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 0.7948 with a target of 0.8204–0.8400. A buy signal: the price holds above 0.7948. Stop Loss: below 0.7910, Take Profit: 0.8204–0.8400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 0.7948 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 0.7755–0.7593. A sell signal: the level of 0.7948 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 0.7985, Take Profit: 0.7755–0.7593. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 0.7948 with a target of 0.8204–0.8400. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 0.7948 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels... Read full au... .. read more..
EUR/USD – September 4: Key Day for the Euro and Dollar
Friday, September 4,2026,06:23
The EUR/USD pair continued to rise on Thursday and consolidated above the 100.0% retracement level at 1.1620. Thus, the euro's rise may continue today toward the next Fibonacci level of 127.2% at 1.1700. Consolidation below the 1.1620 level would favor the U.S. dollar and a resumption of the decline toward the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1551. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains bullish despite the two-week decline. The latest completed upward wave broke the previous peak, while the latest downward wave did not break the previous low. Geopolitical developments remain consistently negative: negotiations between Iran and the United States are not taking place, and the blockade o... .. read more..
GBP/USD – September 4: ISM Data Has No Impact on the Dollar
Friday, September 4,2026,06:23
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair reversed in favor of the British pound on Thursday and consolidated above the 1.3526 level, allowing traders to expect further growth toward the 1.3556 and 1.3633 levels. Consolidation below the 1.3526 level today would favor the U.S. dollar and a resumption of the decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3489. The market situation remains bullish. The latest completed upward wave broke the previous peak, while the new downward wave has not yet broken the previous low. Thus, the bulls currently have the initiative in the market, and their advantage remains intact. The bullish trend can be considered broken only after the low of the latest complet... .. read more..
XAU/USD: analysis and forecast: gold remains under pressure
Friday, September 4,2026,05:52
Concerns about energy?driven inflation are bolstering the prospect of Fed tightening and further constraining gold price gains. Gold (XAU/USD) has eased slightly, interrupting a two?day advance amid a modestly stronger US dollar. Nonetheless, the metal remains above $4,450 and close to the weekly high reached yesterday as traders await the release of key monthly US employment data. The well?known nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report should provide additional signals about the Federal Reserve's likely strategy as markets pare back expectations for a September rate hike — developments that will materially affect the dollar and could add momentum to the precious metal. TD Securities notes that "the... .. read more..
XAU/USD: analysis and forecast. Gold remains under pressure
Friday, September 4,2026,05:52
Concerns about energy-driven inflation are bolstering the prospect of Fed tightening and further constraining gold price gains. Gold (XAU/USD) has eased slightly, interrupting a two-day advance amid a modestly stronger US dollar. Nonetheless, the metal remains above $4,450 and close to the weekly high reached yesterday as traders await the release of key monthly US employment data. The well-known nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report should provide additional signals about the Federal Reserve's likely strategy as markets pare back expectations for a September rate hike — developments that will materially affect the dollar and could add momentum to the precious metal. TD Securities notes that "the... .. read more..
USD/CAD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Friday, September 4,2026,05:50
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3945 with a target of 1.3548–1.3400. A sell signal: the price holds below 1.3945. Stop Loss: above 1.3985, Take Profit: 1.3548–1.3400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.3945 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.4085–1.4250. A buy signal: the level of 1.3945 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 1.3905, Take Profit: 1.4085–1.4250. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3945 with a target of 1.3548–1.3400. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation above 1.3945 will... Read full author’s opinion ... .. read more..
Big stakes for USDJPY over US jobs report.
Friday, September 4,2026,05:48
Also, Waller dovishness confuses after hawkish Warsh. Listen to the full episode now or follow the Saxo Market Call on your favourite podcast app. Links Bloomberg discusses the odd meeting of Japan's largest (and word's largest) pension fund and whether this means a raise of allocation to Japanese government bonds , with this story likely an important contributor to the recent JPY rally. A Tech Crunch article discusses Tesla's polling the market for anyone interested in operating Cybercab fleets . I didn't cover on today's pod that apparently, the post-Cybercab event coverage late yesterday was somewhat negative . Questions and comments, please! We invite you to send any questions a... .. read more..
Europe built the car industry. Can it survive the next version?
Friday, September 4,2026,05:30
Key takeaways European car stocks look cheap because investors are questioning future margins, not simply today’s sales. China’s slowdown is pushing its carmakers overseas, increasing pressure on European prices, costs and product cycles. The emerging auto moat combines brand with low costs , software, batteries, speed and scale. European car stocks look cheap. Unfortunately, their competitors are getting cheaper cars onto the road too. That is the backdrop to Volkswagen’s Future Plan 2030, approved on 3 September 2026. Europe’s largest carmaker plans another 50,000 job cuts, a smaller model range and major capacity reductions, while still investing EUR 135 billion... .. read more..
NFP to tilt Fed's scale: August payrolls could decide September rate odds
Friday, September 4,2026,05:25
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a Fed rate increase at the September meeting is currently about 50%. The alternative—a pause—has roughly the same odds. The scales are therefore balanced, but today's NFP will break that balance one way or the other: toward hawkishness or dovishness. Everything will depend on the "tone" of the August payrolls, to be published at the start of the US session on Friday. This report matters not only in isolation but also in the context of recent Fed signals. After Kevin Warsh's high-profile Jackson Hole speech, the market materially increased the odds of a September hike. The Fed chair highlighted persistent inflation risks and allowed th... .. read more..
Large holders exit Ether while others hedge via outsized short positions
Friday, September 4,2026,05:25
While Bitcoin and Ether are printing fresh monthly highs, large players continue to man oeuvre on multiple fronts. Yesterday one major institutional holder completed a four-day sale of ether, moving a further 29,735 ETH to exchanges—about $72.1 million at current prices. The total volume over that period reached 172,546 ETH, or roughly $417 million, indicating a sequenced exit rather than a one-off profit take, and it came precisely as SOPR and other on-chain metrics were signaling a potential cycle turn. That sequence of liquidity flows suits participants who wanted exchange supply to materialize so they could buy on a local dip, but it hurts ether's price in the near term because it add... .. read more..
Market rewrites September rate odds as Waller's caution cuts hike probability...
Friday, September 4,2026,05:24
Gold appears to have stabilized around $4,480 an ounce after rising more than 2% on Thursday. Silver edged up 0.1% to $66.90, while platinum and palladium were essentially unchanged. The market turn was triggered by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller's remarks yesterday, in which he indicated he was prepared to support holding rates steady if price pressure continued to ease. He said his decision would be heavily influenced by August inflation data due next week. "But if inflation comes in hot, I would consider a rate hike," he added, while noting that recent data show some signs of disinflation. The market's reaction to that caveat was disproportionate to its content. Traders cu... .. read more..
Fed outlook becomes fully data-dependent after Waller's nuanced Jackson Hole ...
Friday, September 4,2026,05:24
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said his next rate decision will be heavily influenced by August inflation data due next week. In prepared remarks he sounded close to supporting a hike, but in the subsequent Q&A he noticeably softened his tone, saying he expects "reasonable" inflation readings. That contrast between prepared remarks and live answers drove the market reaction. Waller framed his comments as a fork in the road with two equally plausible outcomes. "If there is continued progress toward our 2% goal, then I am willing to support holding the policy rate at its current level," he said, adding: "But if inflation comes in hot, I would consider a rate hike." Describi... .. read more..
Market takes revenge
Friday, September 4,2026,04:15
The stock market decided to pre-count future macro figures and delivered its best day in a month. The rally was unusually broad: every S&P 500 sector except three closed higher. Financials and consumer discretionary gained more than 1.5%, and each of the Magnificent Seven finished the day above its open. S&P 500 daily performance The catalyst was comments from Fed governor Christopher Waller. He said that if August inflation data confirms recent progress, he is prepared to support keeping the federal funds rate at the current 3.75% at the next FOMC meeting. In his view, recent data shows signs of disinflation. The derivatives market reacted immediately: CME-priced odds of a rate m... .. read more..
Stock market on September 4: S&P 500 and NASDAQ post strong gains
Friday, September 4,2026,04:11
US equity indices finished yesterday with robust gains. The S&P 500 rose by 1.06%, the Nasdaq 100 jumped by 1.40%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by 1.18%. This morning, US indices and Treasuries are pausing ahead of the August jobs report, an event that could determine the Fed's September rate decision. S&P 500 futures were little changed after the previous session's biggest one-day gain in a month. The 10-year Treasury yield eased by one basis point to 4.76%, while most of the curve remained muted. Brent crude is holding near $95.50/bbl and the dollar is flat. The lack of a clear directional bias across asset classes is notable — a rare moment when no one wants to ... .. read more..
Australian Dollar Rises Amid RBA Rate Hike Expectations
Friday, September 4,2026,04:11
The Australian dollar strengthened against other major currencies in the Asian session on Friday, as recent Australia's economic data raised the prospect of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia or the RBA as soon as this month. .. read more..
Oil (USCrude) Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week, and Next 30 Days
Friday, September 4,2026,04:08
Forecasting the USCrude price requires taking into account fundamental, geopolitical, and technical factors. The dynamics of crude oil not only shape the global economic environment but also depend heavily on exporting countries' decisions, macroeconomic indicators, and unexpected events. In this review, we will examine the outlook for oil prices over the upcoming trading sessions, assess prospects for the week ahead, and outline key benchmarks for the coming month. The forecast takes into account the current supply-demand balance, speculative positioning, and the latest geopolitical developments. Expert Technical Analysis for USCrude for Today The 4-hour chart shows the following signals... .. read more..
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week, and the Next 30...
Friday, September 4,2026,04:03
Gold (XAU/USD) is generally regarded as a safe-haven asset. The price of gold is influenced by geopolitical events, inflation rates, and shifts in interest rates. In the face of global economic uncertainty, the precious metal remains the primary defensive asset in investment portfolios. This article examines the factors driving the future of gold quotes and presents a forecast for the day, week, and month ahead. The price analysis encompasses macroeconomic data, political events, and technical analysis to facilitate the most accurate trading forecast for the XAUUSD. Expert Technical Analysis for XAU/USD for Today The 4-hour chart shows the following signals:... Read full author’s opinion ... .. read more..
Europe heads into winter with a thinner energy buffer
Friday, September 4,2026,04:00
Key Points: Gas buffers are thin: EU storage is at a 15-year seasonal low, while Qatari LNG disruption has tightened global supply. Risks could compound : Low storage, cold weather, weak wind/hydro and constrained LNG supply are the key winter threat. Power volatility is rising : Growing renewable reliance increases exposure to Dunkelflaute, hydro weakness and nuclear outages. Important buffers remain : US LNG, lower gas demand and strong nuclear availability could help, while El Niño may deliver a milder winter. Europe is approaching the coming winter with a considerably thinner energy cushion than in recent years. EU storage is currently around 66% full , the lowest level f... .. read more..