Weak US Economic Data Weighs on the Dollar
Friday, August 14,2026,12:38
The US economy continues to grow, the labor market remains resilient, and the dollar is weakening—as if it were ignoring the positive developments. This paradox has concerned the Forex market more over the past month than any macroeconomic data. Following the Fed's July meeting, the greenback lost ground. Kevin Warsh's press conference convinced markets that the central bank was not prepared to respond aggressively to a new surge in inflation. Long-term Treasury yields rose, but this did not help the dollar—EUR/USD remained stable around 1.15. Nevertheless, short-term risks for the U.S. dollar appear balanced. The weak July employment report prompted the futures market to reduce its expec... .. read more..
EUR/USD: Weak US Macroeconomic Data Favors the Euro, While Geopolitical Risks...
Friday, August 14,2026,12:38
EUR/USD continues to trade within the 1.1520–1.1570 price range, whose boundaries correspond to the lower and upper Bollinger Bands on the H4 timeframe. Traders cannot determine the pair's next direction amid conflicting fundamental factors. On one side are macroeconomic reports (NFP, CPI, and PPI), which have weakened the position of dollar bulls and, consequently, sellers of EUR/USD. On the other side is geopolitics, which continues to provide background support for the greenback as a safe-haven asset. These fundamental factors are effectively balancing each other, which is why the pair has remained range-bound for the second consecutive week. The key macroeconomic releases of the past ... .. read more..
The Market Continues to Expect Fed Tightening Despite Weak Economic Data
Friday, August 14,2026,12:37
The market is paying no attention to negative labor-market data or the continued slowdown in inflation in the United States. It is now "hoping" for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report, believing that a rise in the index could become an argument in favor of an interest-rate hike in September. Overall, an interesting situation has developed in the market, one that has occurred before in the history of the confrontation between market participants and the Fed. Large market players have been putting pressure on the regulator, urging it to take measures that would benefit them, while repeating the familiar claim that the central bank is losing credibility. For exampl... .. read more..
EUR/USD – Price Analysis and Forecast: The Euro Strengthens Amid Weak U.S. Ec...
Friday, August 14,2026,12:37
Today, Friday, EUR/USD is attracting buyers as it continues its recovery above the 100-day SMA. Current spot prices are attempting to break out of the two-week range. Nevertheless, mixed signals remain in the market. The U.S. Producer Price Index report released on Thursday fell short of expectations and, together with the weak Consumer Price Index figures, points to a slowdown in overall inflation. This gives the U.S. Federal Reserve room to keep interest rates unchanged, which, in turn, limits the dollar's decline below its two-week low. On the other hand, the euro is supported by growing expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in S... .. read more..
EUR/USD – Smart Money Analysis: Bullish Pressure Has Finally Increased
Friday, August 14,2026,12:37
EUR/USD remains within the local "bearish" impulse that began on April 17, but with each passing day, the bulls are putting increasing pressure on the prevailing trend. To launch a full-scale advance, they only need to invalidate "bearish" imbalance 17. However, today, they took a step that brings them closer to achieving this. The fundamental backdrop remains unfavorable for the bears. Traders did not receive any clear signals from Kevin Warsh that he was ready to support monetary policy tightening. In July, the number of new Nonfarm Payrolls jobs decreased by 23,000, marking a decline for the fourth consecutive month. Inflation slowed by 0.7% in June and by another 0.1% in July. All of ... .. read more..
GBP/USD – Smart Money Analysis: Multiple Factors Are Contributing to the Doll...
Friday, August 14,2026,12:37
GBP/USD continues to rise, which I consider fully justified. Reports on the U.S. economy, labor market, and inflation have largely settled the debate over whether the FOMC will raise interest rates in September. Nonfarm Payrolls declined for the fourth consecutive time and fell below zero. The U.S. economy is slowing. Inflation is declining. The situation may change over time, but at present, the FOMC is much closer to maintaining a wait-and-see stance than to making "hawkish" decisions. In recent weeks, there have been widespread market rumors that high inflation would force the Fed to raise interest rates. Kevin Warsh has also spoken about excessive inflation that needs to be brought ba... .. read more..
The broader S&P and Nasdaq indices are trading near new lows. What are the te...
Friday, August 14,2026,11:46
The major US stock indices are trading lower on the day, taking some of the shine off what had been a technically positive week. S&P index: down -0.23% on the day, but still holding onto a 0.30% gain for the week. NASDAQ index: down -0.52% today and now -0.09% for the week. For the S&P, the index stretched to a new record high this week, but buyers have been unable to generate additional upside momentum in trading today. The NASDAQ also reached an important technical milestone this week, extending above a key swing area that tops out at 26,788.62. However, that breakout has also failed to attract sustained follow-through buying, with the index moving back to the downside today. Th... .. read more..
GBPUSD moves to new highs going back to May. Breaks away from 50% retracement.
Friday, August 14,2026,10:52
The GBPUSD is pushing sharply higher, up close to 0.50% on the day, with the rally taking the pair to its highest level since May 12. From a technical perspective, buyers have checked several important boxes on the way higher. The price has moved above its 100-hour moving average, the 50% retracement of the 2026 trading range at 1.3503, and the July high at 1.35573. The latest push has taken the price to 1.3561. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the pair has also broken above a key swing area between 1.3543 and 1.3557. That breakout area now becomes important support. For buyers looking for the move to continue, staying above 1.3543 is the close risk level. A move back below would raise concer... .. read more..
U.S. Business Inventories Unexpectedly Unchanged In June
Friday, August 14,2026,10:36
With a decrease in retail inventories offsetting increases in manufacturing and wholesale inventories, the Commerce Department released a report on Friday showing business inventories in the U.S. were unexpectedly flat in the month of June. The Commerce Department said business inventories came in virtually unchanged in June after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.4 percent in May. .. read more..
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Slumps Much More Than Expected In August
Friday, August 14,2026,10:18
Preliminary data released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed consumer sentiment in the U.S. has deteriorated by much more than anticipated in the month of August. The University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index tumbled to 51.0 in August after surging to 55.2 in July. Economists had expected the index to dip to 54.2. .. read more..
USDCHF sellers push away from swing area resistance and retest the 200 hour MA
Friday, August 14,2026,09:56
In yesterday’s post and video, I highlighted the importance of the swing area between 0.8138 and 0.81513, writing: “Ultimately, if buyers are going to take firmer control, they need to get and stay above 0.8151. A sustained break above that level would strengthen the bullish bias and have traders looking toward the July swing highs near 0.8206.” That break never materialized. The USDCHF reached a late-session high yesterday of 0.8146, just below the upper end of that key swing area. In the new trading day, buyers made another attempt, but the price stalled at 0.8145 before rotating back to the downside. The selling pressure has intensified over the last few hours, helped by broader U.S. d... .. read more..
USDCAD runs lower adding to the sellers control. The key 200 day MA is eyed.
Friday, August 14,2026,09:27
Coming into today’s trading, USDCAD had been confined to a relatively narrow range for the week. The high was set on Monday at 1.3964, while Wednesday’s low reached 1.3908 — a range of just 56 pips (see red box on the chart below). However, as posted yesterday, the sellers still had the strongest hand ( see post here ). That changed today as sellers pushed the pair to a new weekly low at 1.3868. The weekly range has now expanded to nearly 100 pips, which is a little more respectable, although still not particularly large by historical standards. More importantly, the move lower represents another leg in the step-by-step decline that has been developing since USDCAD peaked in mid-Jun... .. read more..
U.S. Retail Sales Unexpectedly Decrease For First Time In Nine Months
Friday, August 14,2026,09:26
A report released by the Commerce Department on Friday showed an unexpected decline in retail sales in the U.S. in the month of July. The Commerce Department said retail sales fell by 0.6 percent in July after rising by 0.2 percent in June. Economists had expected retail sales to inch up by 0.1 percent. .. read more..
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 14.08.26 – 21.08.26
Friday, August 14,2026,08:50
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 4,170.80 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. A buy signal: the local correction ends and the price settles above 4,170.80. Stop Loss: below 4,100.00, Take Profit: 4,900.00–5,610.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 4,170.80 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,720.00–3,290.55. A sell signal: the level of 4,170.80 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 4,240.00, Take Profit: 3,720.00–3,290.55. Main scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 4,170.80 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. Alternative scenario Breakout and consolidation belo... .. read more..
Cautious Mood In Global Markets
Friday, August 14,2026,08:46
Global market sentiment remains cautious amidst persistent tensions in the Middle East and a spike in crude oil prices. Markets also reacted to the mixed earnings updates and guidance from the corporate sector. .. read more..
WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 14.08.26 – 21.08.26
Friday, August 14,2026,08:20
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 73.45 with a target of 105.17–115.50. A buy signal: the price holds above 73.45. Stop Loss: below 72.00, Take Profit: 105.17–115.50. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 73.45 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 58.50–50.00. A sell signal: the level of 73.45 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 75.00, Take Profit: 58.50–50.00. Main scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 73.45 with a target of 105.17–115.50. Alternative scenario Breakout and consolidation below 73.45 will allow the asset to continue declining... Read full author’s opin... .. read more..
Kickstart the NA session for Augste 14: USD falls across the board as BOJ rat...
Friday, August 14,2026,08:09
The US dollar is trading lower across the board to start the North American session on Friday, with the greenback losing ground against all of the major currencies. The NZD is leading the way, rising 0.62% versus the USD and back above the 100 and 200 hour MAs (see chart below), while the GBP is up 0.39%, the CAD is up 0.37%, the EUR is up 0.35%, and the JPY is up 0.22% versus the dollar. For the three major pairs covered in the Kickstart video, that translates into EURUSD and GBPUSD moving higher, while USDJPY is moving lower. In today's Kickstart video, I take a technical look at three of the currency pairs - the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD - identifying the bias, the risk levels that cou... .. read more..
5 Tips When Switching Up Your Trading Strategies
Friday, August 14,2026,07:56
Consistently profitable traders are profitable across different trading conditions. Here are some tips when making adjustments. .. read more..
USD/JPY: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 14.08.26 – 21.08.26
Friday, August 14,2026,07:50
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 160.52 with a target of 154.60–151.76. A sell signal: the price holds below 160.52. Stop Loss: above 161.10, Take Profit: 154.60–151.76. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above 160.52 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 163.90–166.50. A buy signal: the level of 160.52 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 159.90, Take Profit: 163.90–166.50. Main scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 160.52 with a target of 154.60–151.76. Alternative scenario Breakout and consolidation above 160.52 will allow the pair... Read full author’s opinio... .. read more..
GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 14.08.26 – 21.08.26
Friday, August 14,2026,07:20
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3390 with a target of 1.3870–1.4140. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3390. Stop Loss: below 1.3345, Take Profit: 1.3870–1.4140. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.3390 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3140–1.2936. A sell signal: the level of 1.3390 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.3435, Take Profit: 1.3140–1.2936. Main scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3390 with a target of 1.3870–1.4140. Alternative scenario Breakout and consolidation below 1.3390 will allow the pair to continue declining... Read full aut... .. read more..
EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 14.08.26 – 21.08.26
Friday, August 14,2026,06:50
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.1438 with a target of 1.1790–1.2088. A buy signal: the correction ends and the price settles above 1.1438. Stop Loss: below 1.1395, Take Profit: 1.1790–1.2088. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.1438 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.1346–1.1200. A sell signal: the level of 1.1438 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.1480, Take Profit: 1.1346–1.1200. Main scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 1.1438 with a target of 1.1790–1.2088. Alternative scenario Breakout and consolidation below 1.1438 will allow the... Read full auth... .. read more..
USD/CHF: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 14.08.26 – 21.08.26
Friday, August 14,2026,06:20
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 0.8206 with a target of 0.7755–0.7593. A sell signal: the price holds below 0.8206. Stop Loss: above 0.8245, Take Profit: 0.7755–0.7593. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above 0.8206 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 0.8400–0.8600. A buy signal: the level of 0.8206 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 0.8165, Take Profit: 0.8400–0.8600. Main scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 0.8206 with a target of 0.7755–0.7593. Alternative scenario Breakout and consolidation above 0.8206 will allow the pair... Read full author’s opinio... .. read more..
Gold Gets Ahead of Itself. Forecast as of 14.08.2026
Friday, August 14,2026,06:15
Gold rallied to two-month highs ahead of the inflation reports, only to pull back immediately after the data was released. This seemingly paradoxical move raises a question: is XAU/USD getting carried away by its own euphoria? Let's discuss this topic and outline a trading plan. Major Takeaways The odds of a September Fed rate hike have fallen to 32%. A weak labor market has fueled investors' stagflation concerns. UBS and the LBMA expect gold to trade in the $4,500–$5,000 per ounce range. A move above $4,415 would offer a new buying opportunity. Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Gold Did gold get... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Rupee logs weekly decline, with RBI intervention curbing losses
Friday, August 14,2026,06:14
Data on Friday showed that India’s wholesale price inflation rose 9.78% year-on-year in July, easing marginally from June due to lower energy inflation .. read more..
What Is Dividend Yield? Meaning, Formula, and Examples
Friday, August 14,2026,06:10
Stock investing appeals to millions of people because it offers two ways to earn returns: through capital appreciation and dividend payments. The first requires investors to wait for the right time to sell their shares, while the second can provide a steady stream of investment income over time. However, the dividend amount alone does not show how profitable an investment in a particular company may be. To assess its potential return, you need to compare the dividend with the price you pay for the shares. This is where dividend yield comes in. As a key financial ratio, it helps you... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
USD/CAD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 14.08.26 – 21.08.26
Friday, August 14,2026,05:48
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3900 with a target of 1.4250–1.4400. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3900. Stop Loss: below 1.3860, Take Profit: 1.4250–1.4400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.3900 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3820–1.3722. A sell signal: the level of 1.3900 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.3940, Take Profit: 1.3820–1.3722. Main scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3900 with a target of 1.4250–1.4400. Alternative scenario Breakout and consolidation below 1.3900 will allow the pair to continue declining... Read full aut... .. read more..
EUR/USD – August 14: PPI Does Not Favor the Dollar
Friday, August 14,2026,05:15
On Thursday, EUR/USD attempted to resume its decline toward the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1507, but in the second half of the day, the bulls pushed the bears back. Trader activity remains low. Today, a rebound from the 1.1551 level would again favor the U.S. dollar and some decline toward 1.1507. Consolidation above 1.1551 would allow traders to expect a continuation of the rise toward the 100.0% retracement level at 1.1620. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains "bullish." The latest completed upward wave broke the previous high, while the latest downward wave did not break the previous low. All waves are currently extremely small. Geopolitical developments have raised hopes t... .. read more..
Top stories for investors: capital outflows, monetary rhetoric, and tech anno...
Friday, August 14,2026,04:47
The euro rose to a two-month high on the back of stronger eurozone data and expectations of an ECB rate hike, which increased demand for the currency. Gold hit a two-month peak as US inflation risks eased and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East rose. Foreign investors have withdrawn capital from Asian tech markets for the ninth consecutive month, mainly from Taiwan and South Korea, reflecting skepticism about the outlook for the chip and AI industries. Finally, Google unveiled the Pixel 11 line, Pixel Watch 5, and the Pixel Tag tracker with new Gemini-powered features, which could shift investor interest across supply chains and IT companies. Taken together, these stories underscore ... .. read more..
Market charges ahead
Friday, August 14,2026,04:28
Those looking for a reason for optimism find it – and the market didn't search long these days, finding two at once. The S&P 500 closed at a record high for the 27th time this year. The formal reason is clear: the July producer price index unexpectedly remained unchanged, even though economists had forecast an increase. A day earlier, the consumer price index delivered a similar surprise. Two straight days of softer inflation data – and markets are now pricing in the probability of a September Fed rate hike at just 32%. A month ago, the talk was of 75%. Stock index performance Treasury yields fell, and Wall Street traders took the developments as a long-awaited signal: Kevin Warsh has... .. read more..
GBP/USD – August 14: UK Economic Data Does Not Favor the Pound
Friday, August 14,2026,04:26
On the hourly chart, GBP/USD continued to decline toward the 1.3454–1.3458 support level on Thursday after rebounding from the 1.3526–1.3557 level. A rebound from the 1.3454–1.3458 level would favor the pound and a resumption of growth toward 1.3526–1.3557. Consolidation below the 1.3454–1.3458 level would allow traders to expect a continuation of the decline toward the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3397. The situation has turned "bullish," but only because of a significant reduction in the size of the identifiable waves. The latest completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the latest upward wave (which is not yet complete) broke the previous high. Thus, the bulls current... .. read more..
Forex forecast 14/08/2026: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, SP500, OIL, BTC
Friday, August 14,2026,04:14
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week. Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to inc... .. read more..
EUR/USD Analysis on August 14. The Agonizing Choice of the Fed
Friday, August 14,2026,03:54
The wave analysis of the 4-hour chart for the EUR/USD instrument is becoming more complicated. There is still no talk of canceling the upward section of the trend (bottom image), which began in January of last year. However, the trend's wave structure has taken on a corrective form. In the long term, we should expect the formation of wave C, the low of which should be below the low of wave A. Currently, the low of wave C is below the low of wave A, which means that wave C could be completed at any moment or may already be finished. However, with a favorable news background for the dollar, this wave could take a more extended form. On a smaller scale, I can identify a classic five-wave dow... .. read more..
The Strait of Hormuz Is Safe, but This Is Not Accurate
Friday, August 14,2026,03:40
Donald Trump declared this week: "The Strait of Hormuz is completely under the control of the US Navy and is fully safe and free." On Thursday, Iran attacked two state tankers from the United Arab Emirates that were attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz. Once again, the world has confirmed that Donald Trump's words do not entirely align with reality. I have repeatedly spoken about the key points of the current situation in the Middle East. Here they are: Firstly, what Trump says no longer interests anyone in Iran. Tehran does not intend to resume negotiations with Washington, holding it responsible for the collapse of the Memorandum of Understanding. Now Tehran is demanding compensatio... .. read more..
Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 14.08.2026
Friday, August 14,2026,03:36
Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Gold continues to pull back. Major Takeaways USCrude: Oil is rising after testing support A of 79.50–79.10, reaching the first bullish target. XAUUSD: Gold has pierced support A of 4,347–4,336. EURUSD: The euro may exceed last week's high. Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis Yesterday, oil prices corrected lower and tested support A at 79.50–79.10. After that, bulls stepped in.... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Oil (USCrude) Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week, and Next 30 Days
Friday, August 14,2026,03:36
Forecasting the USCrude price requires taking into account fundamental, geopolitical, and technical factors. The dynamics of crude oil not only shape the global economic environment but also depend heavily on exporting countries' decisions, macroeconomic indicators, and unexpected events. In this review, we will examine the outlook for oil prices over the upcoming trading sessions, assess prospects for the week ahead, and outline key benchmarks for the coming month. The forecast takes into account the current supply-demand balance, speculative positioning, and the latest geopolitical developments. Expert Technical Analysis for USCrude for Today The 4-hour chart shows the following signals... .. read more..
UK Economy Grows Four Times Faster than a Year Ago
Friday, August 14,2026,03:33
The UK GDP grew by 0.4 percent in the second quarter, according to the ONS's preliminary estimate, slowing after a 0.6 percent increase in the first quarter. Year-on-year, the economy is 1.2 percent larger than in the same quarter last year. The result fully matched economists' forecasts. The main driver of growth was the services sector, which added 0.5 percent. Construction made a modest positive contribution, increasing by 0.3 percent, while industrial production showed no growth, recording zero growth for the quarter. This structure makes the economy noticeably dependent on one segment, as services account for about four-fifths of the UK GDP. Monthly breakdowns, published simultaneous... .. read more..
Malaysia GDP Growth Exceeds Estimate
Friday, August 14,2026,03:29
Malaysia's economic growth strengthened more than estimated in the second quarter, driven by private consumption expenditure and investment, official data revealed Friday. Gross domestic product expanded 6.0 percent in the second quarter, which was revised up from the initial estimate of 5.0 percent, the Department of Statistics said. This followed first quarter's 5.4 percent growth. .. read more..
Dollar Holds Euro Bulls at Bay. Forecast as of 14.08.2026
Friday, August 14,2026,03:24
The tailwinds from the stock market rally, falling Treasury yields, and the prospect of Fed rate cuts failed to push EUR/USD quotes significantly higher. The pair rose only modestly following the release of the PPI data. Let's examine the situation and develop a trading plan. Major Takeaways The EUR/USD reacted differently to the CPI and PPI reports. The dollar is becoming increasingly sensitive to oil prices. Brent remains range-bound between $80 and $90 per barrel. The 1.154 level is the line in the sand for the EUR/USD. Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Dollar Following the release of the US CPI and... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast for Today, Tomorrow, Next Week, and the Next 30...
Friday, August 14,2026,03:18
Gold (XAU/USD) is generally regarded as a safe-haven asset. The price of gold is influenced by geopolitical events, inflation rates, and shifts in interest rates. In the face of global economic uncertainty, the precious metal remains the primary defensive asset in investment portfolios. This article examines the factors driving the future of gold quotes and presents a forecast for the day, week, and month ahead. The price analysis encompasses macroeconomic data, political events, and technical analysis to facilitate the most accurate trading forecast for the XAUUSD. Expert Technical Analysis for XAU/USD for Today The 4-hour chart shows the following signals:... Read full author’s opinion ... .. read more..
Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 14.08.2026
Friday, August 14,2026,03:17
Dear readers, I've prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on Elliott Wave analysis. Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The price is expected to rise in the final part of correction 4. Consider long positions with a Take Profit at 66,931.90. XRPUSD: The asset could rise in corrective wave (4) of the bearish impulse. Consider long positions with a Take Profit at 1.086. ETHUSD: The fifth part of a bullish correction (B) is projected to form. Long positions can be considered with a Take Profit at 1,978.54. Elliott Wave Analysis for Bitcoin In the long term, Bitcoin is forming the final part of... Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance .. read more..
FX option expiries for 14 August 10am New York cut
Friday, August 14,2026,02:22
There is arguably just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below. That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1550 level. The expiries here don't tie to any technical significance but may just offer a bit of a pull factor in keeping price action more limited in the session ahead. The currency pair remains locked below the 100-day moving average at 1.1566 currently. So, that remains the key technical ceiling that is keeping a lid on price action. As such, it would require a catalyst of sorts to really produce any notable price movements before we end the week. US-Iran developments continue to be in limbo and USD/JPY is not exactly threatening the 160 mark, so that is not seeing much... .. read more..
Rupee gains 2 paise to 95.43 against US dollar in early trade
Friday, August 14,2026,01:21
The rupee gained two paise against the US dollar in the early market hours, driven by a softening dollar internationally. Nonetheless, the outflow of foreign investments from Indian equities is weighing on the rupee's performance. Compounding this issue, rising crude oil prices linked to geopolitical conflicts further affected market sentiments, resulting in declines for the Sensex and Nifty in morning trading. .. read more..
Bitcoin No Longer Correlates with Stock Indexes and Gold
Friday, August 14,2026,01:17
Bitcoin and Ether continue to correct, and the correction may take quite a long time. Over the past one and a half months, Ether and Bitcoin have recovered slightly, but there is still no sign of the end of the downtrend that began last year. The fundamental backdrop remains weak for the crypto segment and is mainly reflected in low spot demand, the flow of capital into the artificial intelligence sector, and the Federal Reserve's commitment to achieving 2% inflation, which implies, at minimum, the maintenance of tight monetary policy in the near term. Thus, we still do not see grounds for a prolonged rise in Bitcoin and Ether. Meanwhile, independent experts are increasingly discussing a ... .. read more..
Chart Art: EUR/NZD Sellers to Target Range Support Near 1.9550?
Friday, August 14,2026,01:16
EUR/NZD is retreating from range resistance as sellers eye another run toward a support zone on the 4-hour time frame. .. read more..
Trading Signals for BITCOIN on August 14-17, 2026: sell below $64,500 (200 EM...
Friday, August 14,2026,00:59
Bitcoin is trading around $63,467, below the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 21-day simple moving average (SMA), after rebounding from a low of $62,800 during Thursday's US trading session. Bitcoin is expected to continue rising in the coming hours; for that to happen, the cryptocurrency would need to break above $63,655. A break above $64,000 could help Bitcoin continue its upward move toward the Murray 5/8 level, around $65,625. If Bitcoin encounters strong resistance around $64,136, we would expect the downtrend to continue, and we anticipate it will reach the Murray 4/8 level, around $62,500, in the coming days. A decisive break below this level alone could cause the ... .. read more..
Trading Signals for GOLD on August 14-17, 2026: sell below $4,375 (21 SMA - 4...
Friday, August 14,2026,00:58
Gold is trading around $4,321 following a sharp technical correction, after reaching a high of $4,449 yesterday during the Asian session. From that level, gold has fallen sharply and is likely to continue declining in the coming days until it reaches the Murray 3/8 level, around $4,218, or it could even find strong support around $4,193, at the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA). If, in the coming hours, gold reaches the $4,320 low—which represents the low from August 7—a technical rebound could occur, as this level technically represents the daily S_1 support level. If XAU remains above this zone, gold is likely to recover in the coming hours. A move toward $4,375 could be consi... .. read more..
Trading Signals for CRUDE OIL on August 14-17, 2026: buy above $79.88 (200 EM...
Friday, August 14,2026,00:56
Crude oil is trading around $80.43, rebounding after reaching the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at the lower band of the uptrend channel, around $79.88. Since reaching the $83.66 area, crude oil has been undergoing a technical correction and is likely to resume its uptrend in the coming days. Therefore, we will look for buying opportunities while the price consolidates above the psychological $80 level. A decisive break below $79.88 could change the outlook for crude oil, and we could see it drop to $75 or even return to the early August low of around $70.30. The Eagle indicator shows a positive signal for crude oil, and our outlook remains positive as long as the price stays a... .. read more..
Trading Signals for EUR/USD on August 14-17, 2026: sell below 1.1550 (21 SMA ...
Friday, August 14,2026,00:55
The euro is trading around 1.1530 within a downtrend channel that has been forming since early August. EUR/USD rebounded during Thursday's US trading session, but it may struggle to continue rising as it faces strong weekly resistance. From a technical viewpoint, the euro could encounter strong resistance near the upper band of the downtrend channel, at 1.1550. If EUR/USD reaches this resistance in the coming hours, it could present an opportunity to open short positions in the coming days, with downward targets at the 200-day EMA, around 1.1487. Ultimately, the euro could find strong support near the 6/8 Murray level, at 1.1474. The outlook for the euro remains bearish over the next few ... .. read more..
USD/CAD Analysis for August 14, 2026: Pullback Tests Support Ahead of Canada CPI
Friday, August 14,2026,00:47
USD/CAD is testing a key area as conflicting technical signals and upcoming catalysts set the stage for its next move. .. read more..
RBI likely intervenes to support rupee, traders say
Friday, August 14,2026,00:36
Rupee steady on the back of the intervention at 95.40 per dollar .. read more..