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11/12/18 22:32 from Marc to Market
Disclaimer

» Fragile Calm Threatens to Break Out
11/12/18 11:27 from Marc to Market
Overview: Indications that US and Chinese trade talks are proceeding, coupled with a dramatic reversal in the S&P 500 yesterday is helping stabilize the capital markets today. Asian equities were mixed, but the Greater China (China, ...

» Cool Video: Bloomberg Economic Discussion
10/12/18 23:16 from Marc to Market
I joined Chris Wolfe from First Republic Wealth Management on the set of Bloomberg's Daybreak to discuss market developments and the outlook for the US economy.    We generally agreed that while the economy is slowing it i...

» Cool Video: Bloomberg Economic Discussion
10/12/18 15:53 from Marc to Market
I joined Chris Wolfe from First Republic Wealth Management on the set of Bloomberg's Daybreak to discuss market developments and the outlook for the US economy.    We generally agreed that while the economy is slowing it i...

» Lack of Closure Weighs on Sentiment
10/12/18 11:06 from Marc to Market
Overview:  Investors angst over trade tensions and Brexit continue remains elevated, and poor Chinese and Japanese economic news played on global growth fears.  Equities continue to slog lower.  Bond yields are little chan...

» The Week Ahead: Don't Skip Steps on Escalation Ladders
09/12/18 14:16 from Marc to Market
The drop in US yields and disappointing economic data weighed on sentiment and the dollar last week.  Even weakness in equities, which had seemed to lend the greenback support, failed to do so at the end of last week.  With the...

» Markets Looking for Terra Firma after Becoming Unhinged
09/12/18 13:53 from Marc to Market
The softer than expected US jobs report sealed among the most challenging weeks since the first quarter of the year for investors.   After rallying strongly in the last week of November, equities reversed course dramatically.  ...

» The Week Ahead: Don't Skip Steps on Escalation Ladders
08/12/18 17:59 from Marc to Market
The drop in US yields and disappointing economic data weighed on sentiment and the dollar last week.  Even weakness in equities, which had seemed to lend the greenback support, failed to do so at the end of last week.  With the...

» The Week Ahead: Don't Skip Steps on Escalation Ladders
08/12/18 14:19 from Marc to Market
The drop in US yields and disappointing economic data weighed on sentiment and the dollar last week.  Even weakness in equities, which had seemed to lend the greenback support, failed to do so at the end of last week.  With the...

» A Couple More Events before Seeing the End of Difficult Week for Investors
07/12/18 11:58 from Marc to Market
Overview:   Global equities have stabilized after US equities recovered yesterday, with the NASDAQ 100 staging its biggest reversal in eight months and the S&P 500 recouped almost three percent to close 0.15% lower.  A...

» A Couple More Events before Seeing the End of Difficult Week for Investors
07/12/18 11:05 from Marc to Market
Overview:   Global equities have stabilized after US equities recovered yesterday, with the NASDAQ 100 staging its biggest reversal in eight months and the S&P 500 recouped almost three percent to close 0.15% lower.  A...

» New Spanner in US-China Relations Weighs on Risk Appetites
06/12/18 11:21 from Marc to Market
Overview:  The global capital markets were fragile amid trade uncertainty and economic slowdown fears.  News that Canada arrested the CFO of Huawei on behalf of the US,  ostensibly for violating the embargo against Ir...

» US Market Closure may be a Firebreak
05/12/18 11:24 from Marc to Market
Overview:  The 3%+ drop in the S&P 500 yesterday kept global equities under pressure today, though losses in Asia and Europe were milder.   In Asia, only Hong Kong and Taiwan benchmarks lost more than 1%.  In Euro...

» The Dollar and Its Rivals
04/12/18 19:35 from Marc to Market
I was in graduate school, studying American foreign policy when I stumbled on Riccardo Parboni's "The Dollar and Its Rivals."  This thin volume showed how the foreign exchange market was the arena in which capitalist rivalries ...

» Stock Rally Arrested, but Bond and Oil Advance Continues, leaving Dollar in a Lurch
04/12/18 11:16 from Marc to Market
Overview: Equity markets are unable to build on yesterday's advance, but bonds and oil are extending gains. The dollar remains on the defensive and is off again all the major currencies.   The lack of a joint statement over the...

» Great Graphic: The Dollar Index Climbs a Wall of Worry
03/12/18 22:25 from Marc to Market
To be sure, the Dollar Index is not the dollar.  It is not even a trade-weighted measure of the dollar. Two of America's largest trading partners, China and Mexico, are not represented. It is heavily weighted to the euro and currenc...

» G20 Fans Animal Spirits
03/12/18 16:43 from Marc to Market
Overview :  The US and China kept their trade guns cocked at each other but offered the last opportunity for a negotiated settlement before escalation.  What is billed as a 90-day freeze on tariff increases is really only ...

» Jam-Packed Week Ahead
02/12/18 23:03 from Marc to Market
The week ahead may be among the busiest of the year.  There are important events every day that will shed light on three drivers of the ever-evolving investment climate, slower growth, softer prices, and trade tensions.  The IM...

» Some Technical Considerations or Dollar and Stocks Recover; Oil not so Much
01/12/18 13:26 from Marc to Market
With a firmer tone ahead of the weekend, the US dollar closed higher against the major currencies but the Australian and New Zealand dollars.  The pre-weekend gains were not enough against many emerging markets, and the greenback fi...

» Cool Video: Santa Claus Rally and Trade
30/11/18 20:47 from Marc to Market
I was on Fox Business today.  Stuart Varney introduced me by asking me about my forecast for a Santa Claus rally--a year-end recovery in equities.   From a technical perspective, I liked the fact that the S&P 500 successful...

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