• ECB and Frankfurt Radio Symphony to hold Europa Open Air concert on 21 August 2025
    Thursday, August 14, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Design Contest Notice: ECB - Design Contest for the future euro banknotes (461742-2025). (Call for Applications and FAQs included)
    Thursday, August 14, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
    Procurement: Design Contest Notice: ECB - Design Contest for the future euro banknotes (461742-2025). (Call for Applications and FAQs included). Issue date: 14/08/2025. Closing date: 18/08/2025.
  • Contract change notice: ECB - The provision of international search services for executive and professional levels (521410-2025)
    Friday, August 8, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
    Procurement: Contract change notice: ECB - The provision of international search services for executive and professional levels (521410-2025). Issue date: 08/08/2025. Closing date: 25/08/2025.
  • Results of the June 2025 Survey on credit terms and conditions in euro-denominated securities financing and OTC derivatives markets (SESFOD)
    Thursday, July 31, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Euro area bank interest rate statistics: June 2025
    Thursday, July 31, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • New data release: ECB wage tracker continues to show easing wage pressures
    Wednesday, July 30, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • ECB to adapt collateral framework to address climate-related transition risks
    Tuesday, July 29, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • ECB Consumer Expectations Survey results – June 2025
    Tuesday, July 29, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Piero Cipollone: Interview with Delo
    Saturday, July 26, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Decisions taken by the Governing Council of the ECB (in addition to decisions setting interest rates)
    Friday, July 25, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Euro area economic and financial developments by institutional sector: first quarter of 2025
    Friday, July 25, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • ECB appoints Isabel Vansteenkiste as Counsellor to President Lagarde
    Friday, July 25, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Results of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters for the third quarter of 2025
    Friday, July 25, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Monetary developments in the euro area: June 2025
    Friday, July 25, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement (with Q&A)
    Thursday, July 24, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Monetary policy decisions
    Thursday, July 24, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Payments statistics: second half of 2024
    Wednesday, July 23, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • July 2025 euro area bank lending survey
    Tuesday, July 22, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Contract Notice: ECB - Provision of Facility Management (FM) and Administrative Services (477856-2025)
    Tuesday, July 22, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
    Procurement: Contract Notice: ECB - Provision of Facility Management (FM) and Administrative Services (477856-2025). Issue date: 22/07/2025. Closing date: 05/09/2025.
  • Contract Award Notice: ECB - Personal development training services – Leadership Development Services (476524-2025)
    Tuesday, July 22, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
    Procurement: Contract Award Notice: ECB - Personal development training services – Leadership Development Services (476524-2025). Issue date: 22/07/2025. Closing date: 22/08/2025.
  • Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises: firms report lower interest rates amid pressures arising from trade tensions
    Monday, July 21, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Euro area monthly balance of payments: May 2025
    Friday, July 18, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • ECB publishes third progress report on the digital euro preparation phase
    Wednesday, July 16, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • ECB launches design contest for future euro banknotes
    Tuesday, July 15, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Euro area bank interest rate statistics: May 2025
    Friday, July 4, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Meeting of 3-5 June 2025
    Thursday, July 3, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Households and non-financial corporations in the euro area: first quarter of 2025
    Thursday, July 3, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Euro area quarterly balance of payments and international investment position: first quarter of 2025
    Thursday, July 3, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Monetary developments in the euro area: May 2025
    Monday, June 30, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Euro area monthly balance of payments: April 2025
    Wednesday, June 18, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Euro area bank interest rate statistics: April 2025
    Wednesday, June 4, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Monetary developments in the euro area: April 2025
    Friday, May 30, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Meeting of 16-17 April 2025
    Thursday, May 22, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Euro area monthly balance of payments: March 2025
    Tuesday, May 20, 2025 from ECB - European Central Bank
  • Contract change notice: ECB - Dynamic Purchasing System for the Offsetting of the ECB's Greenhouse Gas Emissions (2022/S 177-499693)
    Wednesday, September 14, 2022 from ECB - European Central Bank
    Procurement: Contract change notice: ECB - Dynamic Purchasing System for the Offsetting of the ECB's Greenhouse Gas Emissions (2022/S 177-499693). Issue date: 14/09/2022. Closing date: 03/10/2026.
  • Credit growth, the yield curve and financial crisis prediction: evidence from a machine learning approach
    Monday, November 22, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We develop early warning models for financial crisis prediction by applying machine learning techniques to macrofinancial data for 17 countries over 1870–2016. Most nonlin-ear machine learning models outperform logistic regression in...
  • What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?
    Friday, November 19, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We quantify spillbacks from US monetary policy based on structural scenario analysis and minimum relative entropy methods applied in a Bayesian proxy structural vector-autoregressive model estimated on data for the time period from 1990...
  • Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality
    Thursday, November 18, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the...
  • The transmission of euro area monetary policy to financially euroised countries
    Monday, October 18, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the interest rate pass-through of euro area monetary policy to retail rates outside the euro area, contributing to the literature on the consequences of unofficial financial euroisation and...
  • Estimating the elasticity of consumer prices to the exchange rate: an accounting approach
    Friday, October 15, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We analyse the elasticity of the household consumption expenditure (HCE) deflator to the exchange rate, using world input-output tables (WIOT) from 1995 to 2019. In line with the existing literature, we find a modest output-weighted...
  • The ECB's tracker: nowcasting the press conferences of the ECB
    Friday, October 15, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    This paper proposes an econometric framework for nowcasting the monetary policy stance and decisions of the European Central Bank (ECB) exploiting the ow of conventional and textual data that become available between two consecutive...
  • Demand or supply? An empirical exploration of the effects of climate change on the macroeconomy
    Thursday, October 14, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    The macroeconomic effects of climate-related events and climate policies depend on the interaction between demand- and supply-type of shocks that those events and policies imply. Using a panel of 24 OECD countries for the sample...
  • Not all shocks are created equal: assessing heterogeneity in the bank lending channel
    Thursday, October 14, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We provide evidence that the strength of the bank lending channel varies considerably across three major events in the European sovereign debt crisis - the Greek debt restructuring (PSI), outright monetary transactions (OMT), and...
  • Market finance as a spare tyre? Corporate investment and access to bank credit in Europe
    Wednesday, October 13, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We estimate a FAVAR with Bayesian techniques in order to investigate the impact of loan supply conditions on euro area corporate investment and its financing structure. We identify shocks to overall demand and loan supply with sign and...
  • Investment funds, risk-taking, and monetary policy in the euro area
    Tuesday, October 12, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We examine the transmission of monetary policy via the euro area investment fund sector using a BVAR framework. We find that expansionary shocks are associated with net inflows and that these are strongest for riskier fund types,...
  • Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?
    Monday, October 11, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    Those of professional forecasters do. For a wide range of time series models for the euro area and its member states we find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the...
  • Global models for a global pandemic: the impact of COVID-19 on small euro area economies
    Monday, October 11, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    This paper analyses the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic shock on small open economies in a monetary union with an application to the euro area. Accounting for a high degree of openness and a strong dependence on intra and extra union...
  • Striking a bargain: narrative identification of wage bargaining shocks
    Friday, October 8, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We quantify the effects of wage bargaining shocks on macroeconomic aggregates using a structural vector auto-regression model for Germany. We identify exogenous variation in bargaining power from episodes of minimum wage introduction and...
  • A mixed frequency BVAR for the euro area labour market
    Friday, October 8, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    We introduce a Bayesian Mixed-Frequency VAR model for the aggregate euro area labour market that features a structural identification via sign restrictions. The purpose of this paper is twofold: we aim at (i) providing reliable and...
  • The time-varying evolution of inflation risks
    Thursday, October 7, 2021 from ECB - Working paper series
    This paper develops a Bayesian quantile regression model with time-varying parameters (TVPs) for forecasting inflation risks. The proposed parametric methodology bridges the empirically established benefits of TVP regressions for...
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